Friday ended up seeing the bond market give up some ground with most of the weakness following the ISM Services data. The headline wasn't the culprit. Rather, resilience in the employment index and persistence in the price index did the damage. Even then, the damage was minimal in the bigger picture and not sufficient to derail what ended up being a stronger week overall.
No major reaction to ISM data. MBS down 2 ticks (.06) and 10yr up 1.9bps at 4.101
12:03 PM
Off the weakest levels. MBS down 2 ticks (.06) after being down more than an eighth earlier. 10yr up 2.8bps at 4.109 after hitting 4.117 earlier.
03:34 PM
Weakest levels of the day. 10yr yields up 3.8bps at 4.12 and MBS down 6 ticks (.19) on the day.
Lock / Float Considerations
Risk/reward surround the lock/float decision remains muted during the government shutdown. In terms of trends and outright levels, the modest rally to the lowest rates in more than 2 weeks presents a compelling lock opportunity for risk-averse clients. The risk tolerant crowd is still waiting to see when the jobs report comes out (as long as bonds don't lose too much ground between now and then).
