After Thursday's rather triumphant trading session in the bond market, today's moderate losses may be unpleasant or surprising to some. But they should be neither. Thursday was a bit exuberant in a good way, and Fridays often see position squaring. A bit of a pull-back is not only survivable but arguably more logical this morning, especially with oil prices being modestly higher. Bottom line: if MBS manage to hold this line without losing much more than a quarter point, and if 10yr yields end below 5%, compare today's closing levels to Tuesday's, consider that the Fed hiked this week and added 1-2 more hikes to the near-term outlook, and that bonds are somehow still better than the day before Fed day.


