Steady Selling in Bonds. 'Tis The Season?
Steady Selling in Bonds. 'Tis The Season?
Bonds began the day in weaker territory and continued to sell off through 2pm ET despite an absence of any obvious justifications. That said, 'tis the season for bonds to move whichever way they want without any obvious justifications. Volumes were as low as you'd expect for X-mas week, if not slightly lower. Treasuries are in a cautious stance, having been tasked with underwriting several huge shorter term auctions on X-mas week, and less than one week after a big dust-up with the Fed. It's basically the bond market version of "sell in May and go away," except May is December.
Steady Selling in Bonds. 'Tis The Season
| Time | Event | Period | Actual | Forecast | Prior |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday, Dec 23 | |||||
| 8:30AM | Nov National Activity Index | Nov | -0.12 | -0.40 | |
| 9:30AM | Nov Build permits: change mm (%) | Nov | 5.2% | 6.1% | -0.4% |
| 9:30AM | Nov Building permits: number (ml) | Nov | 1.493M | 1.505M | 1.419M |
| 9:30AM | Nov Durables ex-transport (%) | Nov | -0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 9:30AM | Nov Durables ex-defense mm (%) | Nov | -0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 9:30AM | Nov Core CapEx (%) | Nov | 0.7% | -0.2% | |
| 9:30AM | Nov Durable goods (%) | Nov | -1.1% | -0.4% | 0.2% |
| 10:00AM | 26-Week Bill Auction (bl) | 81 | |||
| 10:00AM | Dec CB Consumer Confidence (%) | Dec | 104.7 | 113 | 111.7 |
| 10:00AM | 6-Month Bill Auction | 4.170% | 4.160% | ||
| 10:00AM | 3-Month Bill Auction | 4.240% | 4.250% | ||
| 10:00AM | Nov New Home Sales (%) (%) | Nov | 5.9% | -17.3% | |
| 10:00AM | Nov New Home Sales (ml) | Nov | 0.664M | 0.65M | 0.61M |
| 10:00AM | 26-Week Bill Auction (bl) | 72 | |||
| 10:30AM | NY Fed Treasury Purchases 0 to 1 yrs (%) | $50 million | |||
| 11:30AM | 26-Week Bill Auction (bl) | 65 | |||
| 11:30AM | 52-Week Bill Auction | 4.070% | 4.190% | ||
| 11:30AM | 52-Week Bill Auction (bl) | 48 | |||
| 11:30AM | 42-Day Bill Auction (%) | 4.280% | 4.270% | ||
| 1:00PM | 2-Year Note Auction | 4.335% | 4.274% | ||
| 1:00PM | 2-Yr Note Auction (bl) | 69 | |||
| 7:00PM | US Holiday | ||||
| Tuesday, Dec 24 | |||||
| 8:55AM | Dec/21 Redbook yy (%) | Dec/21 | 5.9% | 4.8% | |
| 10:00AM | Dec Rich Fed, services index | Dec | 23 | 9 | |
| 10:00AM | Dec Rich Fed comp. index | Dec | -10 | -9 | -14 |
| 10:00AM | Dec Rich Fed manuf shipments | Dec | -11 | -12 | |
| 11:30AM | 2-Yr Note Auction (bl) | 28 | |||
| 11:30AM | 2-Year FRN Auction (%) | 0.170% | |||
| 11:30AM | 5-Year Note Auction | 4.197% | |||
| 11:30AM | 5-Yr Note Auction (bl) | 70 | |||
| 2:00PM | Christmas Eve | ||||
| 4:30PM | Dec/20 API weekly crude stocks (ml) | Dec/20 | -4.7M | ||
| 7:00PM | US Holiday | ||||
