Residential and Commercial Real Estate FInance
Homeplus Mortgage
License:
NMLS 339261
NMLS 2415712

Weaker in Europe, But Reasonably Resilient in Early US Trading

Weaker in Europe, But Reasonably Resilient in Early US Trading

Not that any of this week's trading activity matters in the bigger picture, but things have been reasonably resilient after Monday's selling.  Tuesday and Thursday saw more selling, but each day ended with a solid recovery.  Thursday was especially solid with help from the 7yr Treasury auction.  In today's overnight session, European markets reopened after the X-mas holiday with a moderate spike in yields.  This pulled US yields higher, as is typically the case, but US traders (all 3-4 of them who are in the office today) are pushing back in early US trading. 

Latest Video Analysis

Friendly Reversal Thanks to 7yr Treasury Auction

MBS & Treasury Markets
UMBS 5.5 98.46 -0.10 10YR 4.626% +0.049% 12/27/2024 5:00PM EST
Not that any of this week's trading activity matters in the bigger picture, but things have been reasonably resilient after Monday's selling.  Tuesday and Thursday saw more selling, but each day ended with a solid recovery.  Thursday was especially solid with help from the 7yr Treasury auction.  In today's overnight session, European markets reopened after the X-mas holiday with a moderate spike in yields.  This pulled US yields higher, as is typically the...   READ MORE
Today's Mortgage Rates
30YR Fixed 7.11% -0.01% 15YR Fixed 6.47% -0.01% 12/27/2024
Mortgage rates are based on trading levels in the bond market and bond market activity has been extremely slow, as is normally the case during the Christmas holiday week.  The side effect of the slow activity is the risk of more random volatility.  In other words, bonds (and thus rates) can move in either direction (or in both directions on the same day) for no apparent reason.   Today was one of those "both directions" days. At the start of the day, bo...   READ MORE
Economic Calendar
Time Event Period Actual Forecast Prior
Friday, Dec 27
8:30AM Nov Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM Adv Nov 0.6% 0.1%
8:30AM Nov Wholesale inventories mm (%) Nov -0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
8:30AM Nov Goods Trade Balance Adv Nov $-102.86B $-100.7B $-99.08B
10:30AM Dec/20 Nat gas-EIA, change bcf Dec/20 -93Bcf -99Bcf -125Bcf
1:00PM Dec/20 Crude Oil Inventory (ml) Dec/20 -4.237M -2M -0.934M
1:00PM Dec/20 EIA Crude Oil Imports Change Dec/20 0.995M -1.131M
1:00PM Dec/20 EIA Distillate Stocks Change Dec/20 -1.694M -0.7M -3.18M
1:00PM Dec/20 EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change Dec/20 -0.32M 0.108M
1:00PM Dec/20 EIA Distillate Fuel Production Change Dec/20 0.178M -0.135M
1:00PM Dec/20 EIA Refinery Crude Runs Change Dec/20 0.205M -0.048M
1:00PM Dec/20 EIA Gasoline Production Change Dec/20 0.051M -0.173M
1:00PM Dec/20 EIA Heating Oil Stocks Change Dec/20 -0.062M -0.304M
1:00PM Dec/20 EIA Gasoline Stocks Change Dec/20 1.63M -1M 2.348M
1:00PM Dec/27 Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count Dec/27 483 483 483
1:00PM Dec/27 Baker Hughes Total Rig Count Dec/27 589 589
Monday, Dec 30
9:45AM Dec Chicago PMI Dec 42.8 40.2
10:00AM Nov Pending Home Sales YoY Nov 5.4%
10:00AM Nov Pending Home Sales (%) Nov 0.7% 2%
10:30AM Dec Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index Dec -2.7
11:30AM 26-Week Bill Auction (bl) 84
11:30AM 6-Month Bill Auction 4.170%
11:30AM 3-Month Bill Auction 4.240%
11:30AM 26-Week Bill Auction (bl) 72
1:00PM 26-Week Bill Auction (bl) 75
Read My Latest Newsletter
 "If anything on Fed day ends up having an impact on mortgage rates, it would have to be changes in the Fed's rate outlook and/or comments from Fed Chair Powell during the press conference that follows the rate announcement." That's how we closed out last week's newsletter , and there were certainly some changes! The gist was that mortgage rates often correlate very poorly with changes in... READ MORE
Residential and Commercial Real Estate FInance
Homeplus Mortgage
License:
NMLS 339261
NMLS 2415712