Spectra Mortgage Corporation
License:
NMLS #:298382, Colorado #: MLO100009851
Spectra Mortgage Corporation NMLS License: 387483

Solid Conclusion to a Solid Week

Solid Conclusion to a Solid Week

Bonds benefited from a one-two punch of economic data and stock market weakness on Friday, eventually helping 10yr yields flirt with their lowest levels since December 18th (Feb 5th and 7th still technically a hair lower). MBS have outperformed over that time, briefly hitting December 13th levels during today's best moments.  While the morning gains were clearly tied to the S&P PMI data, afternoon gains came courtesy of a flight to safety with investors dumping stocks aggressively. 

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Solid Conclusion to a Solid Week

MBS & Treasury Markets
UMBS 5.5 99.36 +0.30 10YR 4.429% -0.078% 2/21/2025 5:00PM EST
MBS are very close to their February 5th levels, which were the best since the morning of December 18th before the Fed announcement (and dot plot) caused a big sell-off.  Today, it's econ data that's contributing to the third day in a row of moderate gains. Specifically, S&P Services PMI dropped sharply to levels that are consistent with economic contraction, significantly undershooting expectations. Bonds responded immediately with MBS adding to overnight gains for ...   READ MORE
Today's Mortgage Rates
30YR Fixed 6.89% -0.07% 15YR Fixed 6.37% -0.04% 2/21/2025
Back on December 18th, rates began the day fairly close to where they ended the previous day. In the afternoon, rates surged sharply higher following the Fed announcement. Even since then, the average 30yr fixed rate has operated almost exclusively above 7%.  Rates dipped a pinky toe into the 6% range on Feb 5th and then a few more toes last Friday.  Now today, we're ending another week with damp digits, right in line with last Friday at the best levels since Dece...   READ MORE
Economic Calendar
Time Event Period Actual Forecast Prior
Friday, Feb 21
9:45AM Feb S&P Global Services PMI Feb 49.7 53 52.9
9:45AM Feb S&P Global Composite PMI Feb 50.4 52.7
9:45AM Feb S&P Global Manuf. PMI Feb 51.6 51.5 51.2
10:00AM Feb Sentiment: 1y Inflation (%) Feb 4.3% 4.3% 3.3%
10:00AM Feb U Mich conditions Feb 65.7 68.7 74
10:00AM Feb Sentiment: 5y Inflation (%) Feb 3.5% 3.3% 3.2%
10:00AM Feb Michigan Consumer Expectations Final Feb 64.0 67.3 69.3
10:00AM Feb Consumer Sentiment (ip) Feb 64.7 67.8 71.1
10:00AM Jan Exist. home sales % chg (%) Jan -4.9% 2.2%
10:00AM Jan Existing home sales (ml) Jan 4.08M 4.12M 4.24M
11:30AM Fed Jefferson Speech
11:30AM Fed Daly Speech
1:00PM Feb/21 Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count Feb/21 487 481
1:00PM Feb/21 Baker Hughes Total Rig Count Feb/21 592 588
Monday, Feb 24
8:30AM Jan National Activity Index Jan 0.15
10:30AM Feb Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index Feb 14.1
11:30AM 26-Week Bill Auction (bl) 76
11:30AM 6-Month Bill Auction 4.220%
11:30AM 3-Month Bill Auction 4.225%
11:30AM 26-Week Bill Auction (bl) 68
1:00PM 2-Year Note Auction 4.211%
1:00PM 2-Yr Note Auction (bl) 69
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It ended up being another good week for rates with another Friday drop to the lowest levels in 2 months. Momentum shifted for the better after Wednesday's Fed Minutes but accelerated quickly after Friday's release of the S&P Services PMI--a broad index tracking business activity in the services sector. Weaker economic data tends to promote bond buying which, in turn, pushes rates lower... READ MORE
Spectra Mortgage Corporation
License:
NMLS #:298382, Colorado #: MLO100009851
Spectra Mortgage Corporation NMLS License: 387483