Broadly Sideways Despite Intraday Volatility
Broadly Sideways Despite Intraday Volatility
Shorter term bonds lost ground today while longer term bonds and MBS managed a modest victory. While this isn't really a victory considering the mixed performance, it was better than a sharp stick in the eye. Moreover, MBS were able to outperform--something that is not at all uncommon on the first few days of a Treasury auction week. In the bigger picture, yields are hugging the upper boundary of a trend that would seem fairly boring and only slightly weaker over the past few months after breaking sharply below and above that trend after the tariff announcement drama.
Broadly Sideways Despite Intraday Volatility
Time | Event | Period | Actual | Forecast | Prior |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wednesday, Apr 23 | |||||
7:00AM | Apr/18 MBA Purchase Index | Apr/18 | 153.4 | 164.2 | |
7:00AM | Apr/18 MBA Refi Index | Apr/18 | 673.6 | 841.9 | |
7:30AM | Mar Building Permits (ml) | Mar | 1.467M | 1.482M | 1.459M |
9:00AM | Fed Goolsbee Speech | ||||
9:00AM | Fed Beth Speech | ||||
9:35AM | Fed Waller Speech | ||||
9:45AM | Apr S&P Global Services PMI | Apr | 51.4 | 52.5 | 54.4 |
9:45AM | Apr S&P Global Manuf. PMI | Apr | 50.7 | 49.1 | 50.2 |
9:45AM | Apr S&P Global Composite PMI | Apr | 51.2 | 53.5 | |
10:00AM | Mar New Home Sales (%) (%) | Mar | 7.4% | 1.8% | |
10:00AM | Mar New Home Sales (ml) | Mar | 0.724M | 0.68M | 0.676M |
10:30AM | Apr/18 Crude Oil Inventory (ml) | Apr/18 | 0.244M | -0.7M | 0.515M |
11:30AM | 2-Year FRN Auction (%) | 0.160% | 0.105% | ||
11:30AM | 2-Yr Note Auction (bl) | 30 | |||
1:00PM | 5-Yr Note Auction (bl) | 70 | |||
2:00PM | Fed Beige Book | ||||
Thursday, Apr 24 | |||||
8:30AM | Apr/19 Jobless Claims (k) | Apr/19 | 221K | 215K | |
8:30AM | Mar Core CapEx (%) | Mar | 0.2% | -0.3% | |
8:30AM | Mar Durable goods (%) | Mar | 2% | 0.9% | |
8:30AM | Apr/12 Continued Claims (ml) | Apr/12 | 1880K | 1885K | |
10:00AM | Mar Existing home sales (ml) | Mar | 4.13M | 4.26M | |
10:00AM | Mar Exist. home sales % chg (%) | Mar | -3% | 4.2% | |
1:00PM | 7-Yr Note Auction (bl) | 44 | |||
5:00PM | Fed Kashkari Speech |