Data Free Friday. Heavy Data Next Week
Data Free Friday. Heavy Data Next Week
Today's only scheduled economic report is Consumer Sentiment. Nonetheless, we would classify today as being "data free" because this is simply the final reading of the preliminary release 2 weeks ago. It's the preliminary release that tends to move markets. Case in point, there was no reaction to this morning's installment, nor would we have expected there to be. Next week is a different story. Multiple calendar events are capable of having an impact. Most strikingly, at least one of these events is tap on every single day (usually there's at least one day that offers a break in the storm). All of the above makes today somewhat superfluous and inconsequential in the bigger picture. Sure, there could be some major, unexpected fiscal development, but it seems financial markets are increasingly comfortable in their assumption that the Trump administration received the message about a more measured approach on tariffs. That comfort is reflected in bonds' return to the pre-tariff range.
Modestly stronger overnight and mostly holding gains so far. MBS up 5 ticks (.16) and 10yr down 3.8bps at 4.284
Solid Bonds Rally For Debatable Reasons
Time | Event | Period | Actual | Forecast | Prior |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Friday, Apr 25 | |||||
10:00AM | Apr U Mich conditions | Apr | 59.8 | 56.5 | 63.8 |
10:00AM | Apr Consumer Sentiment (ip) | Apr | 52.2 | 50.8 | 57.0 |
10:00AM | Apr Sentiment: 5y Inflation (%) | Apr | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% |
10:00AM | Apr Sentiment: 1y Inflation (%) | Apr | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5% |
Monday, Apr 28 | |||||
3:00PM | Treasury Refunding Financing Estimates (%) | ||||
3:00PM | 10-Year Note Auction | ||||
3:00PM | Treasury Refunding Financing Estimates (%) |