KV Mortgage

Eerily Calm and Strong For 2nd Straight Day

Eerily Calm and Strong For 2nd Straight Day

After being heavily conditioned to expect elevated volatility with unpredictable timing, the past two trading sessions have been tremendous departures from the norm. Both days featured linear, reasonably big  improvements without any singular flashpoints that deserve any more credit than a general sense of cooler heads prevailing on the policy-making front. Indeed, when the week ends with Trump saying "we will be reasonable on tariffs" as opposed to doubling down on triple digit brinksmanship, something has certainly changed and both sides of the market are looking relieved. 

Latest Video Analysis

Eerily Calm and Strong For 2nd Straight Day

MBS & Treasury Markets
UMBS 5.5 99.56 +0.38 10YR 4.237% -0.084% 4/25/2025 5:00PM EST
Today's only scheduled economic report is Consumer Sentiment. Nonetheless, we would classify today as being "data free" because this is simply the final reading of the preliminary release 2 weeks ago.  It's the preliminary release that tends to move markets. Case in point, there was no reaction to this morning's installment, nor would we have expected there to be. Next week is a different story. Multiple calendar events are capable of having an impact. Most strikingly...   READ MORE
Today's Mortgage Rates
30YR Fixed 6.84% -0.08% 15YR Fixed 6.25% -0.05% 4/25/2025
The news on mortgage rates has been frustratingly mixed recently, depending on the source. This is a factor of the various time frames and methodologies employed by different purveyors of rate data. If you're reading this, however, none of that matters because the following is as timely as it gets: the average mortgage lender is now at the lowest level since April 7th. Improvements versus yesterday vary depending on the lender.  Some of them made friendly adjustments...   READ MORE
Economic Calendar
Time Event Period Actual Forecast Prior
Friday, Apr 25
10:00AM Apr U Mich conditions Apr 59.8 56.5 63.8
10:00AM Apr Consumer Sentiment (ip) Apr 52.2 50.8 57.0
10:00AM Apr Sentiment: 5y Inflation (%) Apr 4.4% 4.4% 4.1%
10:00AM Apr Sentiment: 1y Inflation (%) Apr 6.5% 6.7% 5%
Monday, Apr 28
3:00PM Treasury Refunding Financing Estimates (%)
3:00PM 10-Year Note Auction
3:00PM Treasury Refunding Financing Estimates (%)
Read My Latest Newsletter
Please note that this newsletter is fiercely apolitical. There is no judgment on whether any given political development is good or bad. We are only interested in how financial and housing markets are reacting.  Significant market volatility has been all over the news since the April 2nd tariff announcement, but this week went a long way toward restoring a sense of calm. In addition to tar... READ MORE
KV Mortgage