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Underwhelming (But Friendly) Conclusion
Underwhelming (But Friendly) Conclusion
The present week didn't manage to offer nearly as much excitement as the previous few examples, but that's not necessarily a bad thing considering yields/rates are near the lower boundary of their recent ranges. Today looked like it may have been a higher rate day at the start of the session, but bonds arrested the selling trend and reversed course after dovish comments from Fed's Waller. Europe's close was also beneficial for US bonds, helping us get all the way back into modestly stronger territory before trading levels flat-lined into the U.S. close.
Moderately weaker overnight, following European bonds, but bouncing back a bit after AM data. MBS down 1 tick (.03) and 10yr up 2.7bps at 4.419
Decent rally at 11am. 10yr now down 1bp at 4.382. MBS up 3 ticks (.09).
flat all afternoon. 10yr down 1.8bps at 4.374 and MBS up 5 ticks (.16).
Underwhelming But Friendly Conclusion
| Time | Event | Period | Actual | Forecast | Prior |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friday, Jun 20 | |||||
| 12:00AM | Roll Date - Ginnie Mae 30YR | ||||
| 8:30AM | Jun Philly Fed Prices Paid | Jun | 41.40 | 59.80 | |
| 8:30AM | Jun Philly Fed Business Index | Jun | -4.0 | -1 | -4.0 |
| 10:00AM | May CB Leading Index MoM (%) | May | -0.1% | -0.1% | -1% |
| Monday, Jun 23 | |||||
| 3:00AM | Fed Waller Speech | ||||
| 9:45AM | Jun S&P Global Composite PMI | Jun | 53 | ||
| 9:45AM | Jun S&P Global Manuf. PMI | Jun | 51.2 | 52 | |
| 9:45AM | Jun S&P Global Services PMI | Jun | 52.9 | 53.7 | |
| 10:00AM | May Existing home sales (ml) | May | 3.95M | 4M | |
| 10:00AM | May Exist. home sales % chg (%) | May | -1.3% | -0.5% | |
| 10:00AM | Fed Bowman Speech | ||||
| 1:10PM | Fed Golsbee Speech | ||||
| 2:30PM | Fed Kugler Speech | ||||
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