Correction Starting to Level Off?
Correction Starting to Level Off?
Even though very little changed during the course of the trading day, one potentially important thing happened. Rather than start weaker and continue to lose ground throughout the session, bonds managed to stop the bleeding early and then push back toward unchanged levels by the end of the day. This is the kind of thing typically seen when a corrective trend is running out of steam in the short term. While this doesn't make the bond market immune from another motivation to sell, it suggests that the market is now open to suggestion from either bulls or bears, and that's an upgrade from the selling bias seen on Monday.
Moderately weaker overnight with some additional selling early. MBS down an eighth and 10yr up 3.8bps at 4.419
sideways all day. MBS still down an eighth and 10yr up 2.1bps at 3.877
Very slight recovery, but very low volatility. MBS down 3 ticks (.09) and 10yr up 1.3bps at 3.869
Correction Starting to Level Off
Time | Event | Period | Actual | Forecast | Prior |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tuesday, Jul 08 | |||||
6:00AM | Jun NFIB Business Optimism Index | Jun | 98.6 | 98.7 | 98.8 |
11:00AM | Jun Consumer Inflation Expectations | Jun | 3% | 3.2% | |
1:00PM | 3-Yr Note Auction (bl) | 58 | |||
3:00PM | May Consumer credit (bl) | May | $5.1B | $11B | $17.87B |
Wednesday, Jul 09 | |||||
7:00AM | Jul/04 MBA Refi Index | Jul/04 | 759.7 | ||
7:00AM | Jul/04 MBA Purchase Index | Jul/04 | 165.3 | ||
10:00AM | May Wholesale inventories mm (%) | May | -0.3% | 0.1% | |
10:30AM | Jul/04 Crude Oil Inventory (ml) | Jul/04 | 3.845M | ||
10:30AM | NY Fed Treasury Purchases Bill 0 to 1 yrs (%) | $75 million | |||
1:00PM | 10-yr Note Auction (bl) | 39 | |||
2:00PM | FOMC Minutes |