Fairly Flat At Strongest Levels in Weeks
Fairly Flat At Strongest Levels in Weeks
10yr yields ended the day a mere 0.1bp higher than yesterday (4.029 vs 4.028). Call it "unchanged," and no one will argue. In this case, an unchanged result means we're holding at the best levels since Sep 17. MBS managed to add 2bps to yesterday's close, and are also at 4 week highs. Volume was much lower than yesterday, but still elevated compared to most of last week. That's interesting considering the narrow range and light volatility. As far as the modest mid-day bump in Treasury yields, there were no obvious triggers apart from arcane speculation surrounding liquidity conditions and funding market stress with traders pointing to a big take up in the Fed's standing repo facility. This doesn't really hold water due to the timing of the repo announcement. The only other thought is that we've often noted enigmatic volatility on tax deadline and adjacent days. Either way, it was too small a move to merit any further investigation.
Fairly Flat at Strongest Levels in Weeks
Time | Event | Period | Actual | Forecast | Prior |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Thursday, Oct 16 | |||||
8:00AM | Fed Barkin Speech | ||||
8:30AM | Sep/20 Continued Claims (on hold, shutdown) (k) | Sep/20 | 1930K | 1926K | |
8:30AM | Sep/27 Jobless Claims (on hold, shutdown) (k) | Sep/27 | 223K | 218K | |
8:30AM | Oct/04 Jobless Claims (on hold, shutdown) (k) | Oct/04 | 227K | ||
8:30AM | Sep/27 Continued Claims (on hold, shutdown) (k) | Sep/27 | 1930K | ||
8:30AM | Oct/04 Continued Claims (on hold, shutdown) (k) | Oct/04 | |||
8:30AM | Sep Core Producer Prices YY (%) | Sep | 2.8% | ||
8:30AM | Sep Core Producer Prices MM (%) | Sep | -0.1% | ||
8:30AM | Oct/11 Jobless Claims (on hold, shutdown) (k) | Oct/11 | |||
8:30AM | Oct Philly Fed Business Index | Oct | 10 | 23.2 | |
8:30AM | Sep Producer Prices (%) | Sep | 0.3% | -0.1% | |
8:30AM | Oct Philly Fed Prices Paid | Oct | 46.80 | ||
8:30AM | Sep Retail Sales (ex-autos) (%) | Sep | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
8:30AM | Sep Retail Sales Control Group MoM | Sep | 0.7% | ||
8:30AM | Sep Retail Sales (%) | Sep | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
9:00AM | Fed Waller Speech | ||||
9:00AM | Fed Barr Speech | ||||
9:00AM | Fed Miran Speech | ||||
10:00AM | Aug Business Inventories (% ) | Aug | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
10:00AM | Oct NAHB housing market indx | Oct | 33 | 32 | |
10:00AM | Fed Bowman Speech | ||||
12:00PM | Oct/10 Crude Oil Inventory (ml) | Oct/10 | 0.12M | 3.715M | |
12:45PM | Fed Barkin Speech | ||||
4:15PM | Fed Miran Speech | ||||
6:00PM | Fed Kashkari Speech | ||||
Friday, Oct 17 | |||||
12:00AM | Roll Date - Ginnie Mae 30YR | ||||
8:30AM | Sep Import prices mm (%) | Sep | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
8:30AM | Sep Export prices mm (%) | Sep | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
8:30AM | Sep Building Permits (ml) | Sep | 1.34M | 1.33M | |
8:30AM | Sep Housing starts number mm (ml) | Sep | 1.33M | 1.307M | |
9:15AM | Sep Industrial Production (%) | Sep | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
12:15PM | Fed Musalem Speech |