Sideways Overall Despite Hawkish Fed Speakers
Sideways Overall Despite Hawkish Fed Speakers
Although there was some mid-day volatility (early buying followed by slower selling back to roughly unchanged territory), that movement was more in line with month-end tradeflows than any interesting, specific motivations. Nonetheless, there were interesting, specific developments in the form of several comments from several Fed speakers. Rather than display a balanced mix of differing viewpoints, today's crop of comments was distinctly hawkish across the board. Logan said she would have preferred to hold rates steady this week and can't see a case for a December cut. Hammack said it's not clear what the right answer is for rates, but that it's important to stay restrictive. Bostic said he was glad Powell said a December cut is far from a foregone conclusion. And Schmid said he dissented in this week's vote due to economic momentum and inflation concerns. While bonds didn't react to this today, the lopsided hawkishness makes for an interesting 6 weeks of data-watching ahead of the next Fed meeting and dot plot.
Sideways Overall Despite Hawkish Fed Speakers
| Time | Event | Period | Actual | Forecast | Prior |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friday, Oct 31 | |||||
| 8:30AM | Q3 Employment costs (on hold due to shutdown) (%) | Q3 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 9:30AM | Fed Logan Speech | ||||
| 9:45AM | Oct Chicago PMI | Oct | 43.8 | 42.3 | 40.6 |
| 12:00PM | Fed Bostic Speech | ||||
| 12:00PM | Fed Hammack Speech | ||||
| Monday, Nov 03 | |||||
| 9:45AM | Oct S&P Global Manuf. PMI | Oct | 52.2 | 52.0 | |
| 10:00AM | Aug Construction spending (%) | Aug | -0.1% | -0.1% | |
| 10:00AM | Oct ISM Manufacturing Employment | Oct | 45.3 | ||
| 10:00AM | Oct ISM Mfg Prices Paid | Oct | 62.6 | 61.9 | |
| 10:00AM | Oct Total Vehicle Sales (ml) | Oct | 15.6M | 16.4M | |
| 10:00AM | Oct ISM Manufacturing PMI | Oct | 49.2 | 49.1 | |
| 10:00AM | Sep Construction spending (%) | Sep | |||
| 12:00PM | Fed Daly Speech | ||||
| 2:00PM | Fed Cook Speech | ||||