Mortgage Banker
Frontier Mortgage
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1406168

Econ Data Keeping Bonds Flat

Econ Data Keeping Bonds Flat

Although bonds began the day in roughly unchanged territory, they began losing ground shortly thereafter. Things changed at the 9:30am NYSE open as stock losses helped arrest the selling pressure. Then at 10am ET, weaker Consumer Sentiment data helped completely erase the selling.

Market Movement Recap
08:20 AM

Calm overnight session and a flat start.  MBS up 1 tick (.03) and 10yr up 0.3bps at 4.088.

Latest Video Analysis

Have Bonds Found Their Post-Fed Ceiling?

MBS & Treasury Markets
UMBS 5.0 99.57 +0.04 10YR 4.080% -0.005% 11/7/2025 10:50AM EST
The shutdown has not only placed more emphasis on the alternative data that was already in the rotation, but also fueled interest in new sources. One that you'll likely hear more about in the coming months is Revelio Labs, a company using data aggregation and modeling to synthesize it's own version of nonfarm payrolls.  While it's far from an exact match, the trends are similar, and Revelio's data is less volatile (much like ADP always has been). All that to say, there's...   READ MORE
Today's Mortgage Rates
30YR Fixed 6.32% +0.03% 15YR Fixed 5.82% +0.00% 11/7/2025
As of yesterday afternoon, mortgage rates were right in line with the highest levels in more than a month. The upward momentum was largely a product of 2 specific days: the October 29th Fed announcement and yesterday's duo of economic reports that suggested less cause for concern over the labor market and strength of the services sector. Now today, we have different economic data telling a different story.  Were it not for the government shutdown, the market may have...   READ MORE
Economic Calendar
Time Event Period Actual Forecast Prior
Friday, Nov 07
3:00AM Fed Williams Speech
7:00AM Fed Jefferson Speech
10:00AM Nov Sentiment: 1y Inflation (%) Nov 4.7% 4.6%
10:00AM Nov U Mich conditions Nov 52.3 59.2 58.6
10:00AM Nov Sentiment: 5y Inflation (%) Nov 3.6% 3.9%
10:00AM Nov Consumer Sentiment (ip) Nov 50.3 53.2 53.6
11:00AM Oct Consumer Inflation Expectations Oct 3.2% 3.4%
3:00PM Sep Consumer credit (bl) Sep $13.09B $10B $3.13B
3:00PM Fed Miran Speech
Monday, Nov 10
12:00PM WASDE Report (%)
12:00PM WASDE Report (%)
1:00PM 3-Yr Note Auction (bl) 58
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Not all rates are created equal and not all rates move in the same direction for the same reasons. One of the most common reasons for rates moving in opposite directions is that the underlying bonds, loans, etc. have different terms. In other words, market demand for a 7-year loan can be quite different from a 1-day loan , depending on the day. While a typical mortgage may be ABLE to last ... READ MORE
Mortgage Banker
Frontier Mortgage
License:
1406168