Lowest Yields in Almost 4 Weeks Despite Ongoing Stock Market Recovery
Lowest Yields in Almost 4 Weeks Despite Ongoing Stock Market Recovery
There's no question that stock prices and bond yields have had more than the normal amount of correlation recently. While that created some risk of a bond market weakness in the event of a stock market correction, those fears are proving unfounded over the past 2 trading days. Granted, stocks haven't surged, but they did move back to the highest levels in a week on Monday. But bonds didn't follow. In fact, after a microscopically stronger start, yields continued to fall gradually throughout the session, ultimately closing at the lowest level since the late October Fed meeting.
Modestly stronger overnight and holding gains so far. MBS up 2 ticks (.06) and 10yr down 1.3bps at 4.05
MBS up 3 ticks (.09) and 10yr down 1.7bps at 4.047
Best levels of the day with MBS up an eighth of a point and 10yr down 2.7bps at 4.037
Lowest Yields in Almost 4 Weeks Despite Ongoing Stock Market Recovery
| Time | Event | Period | Actual | Forecast | Prior |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday, Nov 24 | |||||
| 1:00PM | 2-Yr Note Auction (bl) | 69 | |||
| Tuesday, Nov 25 | |||||
| 8:15AM | ADP Employment Change Weekly | -2.5K | |||
| 8:30AM | Sep Core Producer Prices MM (%) | Sep | 0.3% | -0.1% | |
| 8:30AM | Sep Retail Sales Control Group MoM | Sep | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 8:30AM | Sep Retail Sales (%) | Sep | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 9:00AM | Sep CaseShiller 20 mm nsa (%) | Sep | -0.6% | ||
| 9:00AM | Sep Case Shiller Home Prices-20 y/y (% ) | Sep | 1.4% | 1.6% | |
| 9:00AM | Sep FHFA Home Price Index m/m (%) | Sep | 0.4% | ||
| 9:00AM | Sep FHFA Home Prices y/y (%) | Sep | 2.3% | ||
| 10:00AM | Aug Business Inventories (% ) | Aug | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 10:00AM | Nov CB Consumer Confidence (%) | Nov | 93.5 | 94.6 | |
| 10:00AM | Oct Pending Home Sales (%) | Oct | 0.0% | ||
| 1:00PM | 2-Yr Note Auction (bl) | 28 | |||
| 1:00PM | 2-Year FRN Auction (%) | 0.190% | |||
| 1:00PM | 5-Yr Note Auction (bl) | 70 | |||