Luxury Real Estate Professional
Gina Mancuso Luxury Real Estate
License:
02146794

Mostly Sideways Despite Some Help From Europe

Mostly Sideways Despite Some Help From Europe

In addition to this week's holiday closure (early close Wednesday, fully closed Thursday),  the econ calendar is also lacking in terms of potential sources of volatility. A majority of any meaningful momentum is most likely to come from month/quarter/year-end trading today and tomorrow, but think of that more like a caveat for any incidental movement rather than a prediction. Monday is off to an OK start with modest overnight gains driven by rally in EU bonds after their return from holiday. Treasuries gladly followed in the illiquid overnight hours, but have been less willing to do so now that the domestic session is underway.

Market Movement Recap
10:12 AM

Modestly stronger overnight and holding sideways so far. MBS up 2 ticks (.06) and 10yr down 1.6bps at 4.117

Latest Video Analysis

Bonds End Unchanged After Another Quiet Session

MBS & Treasury Markets
UMBS 5.0 99.92 +0.07 10YR 4.114% -0.019% 12/29/2025 12:52PM EST
In addition to this week's holiday closure (early close Wednesday, fully closed Thursday),  the econ calendar is also lacking in terms of potential sources of volatility. A majority of any meaningful momentum is most likely to come from month/quarter/year-end trading today and tomorrow, but think of that more like a caveat for any incidental movement rather than a prediction. Monday is off to an OK start with modest overnight gains driven by rally in EU bonds after ...   READ MORE
Today's Mortgage Rates
30YR Fixed 6.19% -0.01% 15YR Fixed 5.74% +0.00% 12/29/2025
Because mortgage rates are determined by the bond market, a boring market day typically translates to a boring mortgage rate day. But that's not entirely true today. While the level of movement is indeed very small, it only took a small movement to get the average 30yr fixed rate down to their lowest levels since the end of October.   Next week should be another slow one for rates, but things should pick up progressively as 2026 gets underway.   READ MORE
Economic Calendar
Time Event Period Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Dec 29
10:00AM Nov Pending Home Sales (%) Nov 3.3% 1% 1.9%
10:30AM Dec/19 Crude Oil Inventory (ml) Dec/19 -2.4M -1.274M
Tuesday, Dec 30
8:15AM ADP Employment Change Weekly
9:00AM Oct CaseShiller 20 mm nsa (%) Oct -0.5%
9:00AM Oct FHFA Home Price Index m/m (%) Oct 0.1% 0%
9:00AM Oct Case Shiller Home Prices-20 y/y (% ) Oct 1.1% 1.4%
9:00AM Oct FHFA Home Prices y/y (%) Oct 1.7%
9:45AM Dec Chicago PMI Dec 39.5 36.3
2:00PM FOMC Minutes
Read My Latest Newsletter
The two most important economic reports of the month were released this week. Both showed promising results for rates, and although rates improved, the reaction was smaller than expected . First up was November's jobs report, which came out on Tuesday morning. It showed the highest unemployment rate since 2021 at 4.6%--well above the 4.4% forecast. Under normal circumstances, this woul... READ MORE
Luxury Real Estate Professional
Gina Mancuso Luxury Real Estate
License:
02146794