Broker NMLS #1930964
Aspire Mortgage Solutions LLC NMLS #2481498
License:
2481498
1930964

Calmly Holding in Super Strong Territory

Calmly Holding in Super Strong Territory

MBS may not be quite as high as they were yesterday, but in the bigger picture, today's levels are right in line with the best we've seen in more than 3 years. More importantly, mortgage rates are verifiably at the best levels in more than 3 years. There was no major volatility or any remarkable econ data. Tomorrow's calendar is similarly quiet. Stock/bond correlations broke down in the afternoon, but as bonds search for any sources of guidance, that correlation could certainly return if stocks are making bigger moves.

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Calmly Holding in Super Strong Territory

MBS & Treasury Markets
UMBS 5.0 100.21 -0.15 10YR 4.057% +0.023% 2/25/2026 8:06AM EST
Volume and volatility is lower this morning compared to yesterday, but the same theme of risk aversion looks to be in play, probably.  Why "probably?" Because the theme in question (risk aversion, or what we sometimes refer to as the "stock lever") oftentimes makes it hard to distinguish between correlation and causality. All we know so far today is that both stocks and bond yields are sightly higher from yesterday's lows and have been generally sideways so far today. Th...   READ MORE
Today's Mortgage Rates
30YR Fixed 5.99% +0.00% 15YR Fixed 5.58% -0.02% 2/24/2026
The average top-tier mortgage rates made it back to 5.99% yesterday for the first time since January 9th and only the second time in more than 3 years. With rates holding perfectly steady today, this is the 3rd day that matches that multi-year low. In one important way, the past 2 days represent a bigger victory for rates. Back on January 9th, the MND rate index only hit 5.99 for a few hours before bouncing. The next month and a half saw the average well into the low 6s. ...   READ MORE
Economic Calendar
Time Event Period Actual Forecast Prior
Wednesday, Feb 25
7:00AM Feb/20 MBA Purchase Index Feb/20 149.7 157.1
7:00AM Feb/20 MBA Refi Index Feb/20 1432.9 1375.9
7:00AM Feb/20 Mortgage Market Index Feb/20 340.2 339.0
9:35AM Fed Barkin Speech
10:30AM Feb/20 Crude Oil Inventory (ml) Feb/20 1.8M -9.014M
11:30AM 2-Yr Note Auction (bl) 28
11:30AM 2-Year FRN Auction (%) 0.099%
1:00PM 5-Yr Note Auction (bl) 70
1:20PM Fed Musalem Speech
Thursday, Feb 26
8:30AM Feb/14 Continued Claims (k) Feb/14 1860K 1869K
8:30AM Feb/21 Jobless Claims (k) Feb/21 215K 206K
10:00AM Fed Bowman Speech
1:00PM 7-Yr Note Auction (bl) 44
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In addition to being shortened by Monday's holiday, this week's economic data didn't spark any big reactions in the bond market. Even after The Supreme Court ruled against certain recently-applied tariffs, rates managed to end the week right in line with the lowest levels in more than 3 years. The bond market dictates interest rates, and the tariff news was the biggest event of the week fo... READ MORE
Broker NMLS #1930964
Aspire Mortgage Solutions LLC NMLS #2481498
License:
2481498
1930964