Managing Director
Ideal Mortgage Group
License:
560968

Very Small Token Pull-Back

Very Small Token Pull-Back

Nothing really happened on Wednesday as far as the bond market was concerned. Yields were technically a few bps higher thus preserving the phenomenon of rally momentum being limited to 48-hour windows since the start of the Iran war. Despite a barrage of war-related headlines, there was remarkably light volatility in oil prices. Markets seem to be waiting on truly momentous developments (such as a major resumption of hostilities or a confirmed/permanent ceasefire). In the meantime, stocks and bonds both did their own thing today without any of the recently typical correlation to oil prices.

Latest Video Analysis

Very Small Token Pull-Back

MBS & Treasury Markets
UMBS 5.0 99.34 +0.03 10YR 4.278% -0.006% 4/16/2026 4:30AM EST
Markets have plenty of war-related headlines to digest at any given moment these days. And while some of those headlines have been the biggest market movers of the month, traders are increasingly focusing on the examples that speak to the biggest-picture changes. Specifically, markets aren't as interested in Wayne and Garth saying "game on" and "game off," but rather, the actual moment that they pack up their sticks and nets and stop playing street hockey for the day (i....   READ MORE
Today's Mortgage Rates
30YR Fixed 6.32% +0.01% 15YR Fixed 5.97% +0.01% 4/15/2026
On Tuesday, the average top-tier 30yr fixed mortgage rate hit the lowest level in exactly 4 weeks. If you're not interested in splitting hairs, today's rates are essentially the same. Although our official average is 0.01% higher, that's such a small change that many of today's rate quotes will look the same as yesterday's.  In the bigger picture, these rates are about halfway between the highs seen in late March and the lowest rates in more than 3 years seen at the en...   READ MORE
Economic Calendar
Time Event Period Actual Forecast Prior
Thursday, Apr 16
8:30AM Apr/11 Jobless Claims (k) Apr/11 215K 219K
8:30AM Apr/04 Continued Claims (k) Apr/04 1810K 1794K
8:30AM Apr Philly Fed Prices Paid Apr 44.70
8:30AM Apr Philly Fed Business Index Apr 10 18.1
8:35AM Fed Williams Speech
9:15AM Mar Industrial Production (%) Mar 0.1% 0.2%
10:35AM Fed Miran Speech
Friday, Apr 17
12:15PM Fed Barkin Speech
2:00PM Fed Waller Speech
Read My Latest Newsletter
Whereas the entire month of March was "up, up, and away" for interest rates, April has been far calmer by comparison. The average lender ended the week in slightly lower territory and there was less volatility to boot. Refreshingly, the lower volatility means that weekly surveys were aligned with daily rates in showing the modest drop ( unlike last week ). That said, there's no question th... READ MORE
Managing Director
Ideal Mortgage Group
License:
560968