At Least It Didn't Get Much Worse After The Initial Rout

At Least It Didn't Get Much Worse After The Initial Rout

If you had to find something reassuring to say about the bond market today, it would be that there wasn't much selling after 9am ET. Unfortunately, there was a whole lot of selling in the prior 30 minutes. Try as they might, analysts couldn't find any obvious holes in the strong picture painted by the jobs report. Stocks got completely destroyed as well--evidence of the jump in Fed rate hike expectations adding to a tech correction that was already underway. An Iran war peace deal remains the biggest market moving prospect on the horizon, but traders will be a bit more interested in labor market data going forward.

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Modest Gains Maintained After Intraday Slippage

MBS & Treasury Markets
UMBS 5.0
97.69
-0.56 
10YR TREASURY
4.541
+0.064 
6/5/2026 2:34PM EST
Buzz has been growing around the labor market for the past several months, but today's jobs report went the extra mile to make it official. The job market is officially re-accelerating. Actually, the better claim would be that the jobs market is simply attempting to level off after a very long post-covid normalization. Most of today's charts show that quite well.  Payrolls surged to 172k vs an 85k forecast. The previous report was revised up to 179k from 115k. The une...   READ MORE
Today's Mortgage Rates
30YR Fixed
6.66%
+0.08% 
15YR Fixed
6.13%
+0.02% 
6/5/2026
Over the past three months, mortgage rate movement has been driven primarily by developments in the Iran war. It's not that war, itself, is a consideration, but rather the implications for fuel prices and inflation. Bonds care deeply about inflation and interest rates are based directly on bonds. When inflation isn't raging (or at the risk of raging), rates/bonds spend most of their time thinking about the economy. Lately, the data has been even-keeled enough that it hasn...   READ MORE
Economic Calendar
Time Event Period Actual Forecast Prior
Friday, Jun 05
8:30AM May Participation Rate May 61.8% 61.8%
8:30AM May Unemployment rate mm (%) May 4.3% 4.3% 4.3%
8:30AM May Non Farm Payrolls (k) May 172K 85K 115K
8:30AM May Average earnings mm (%) May 0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
3:00PM Apr Consumer credit (bl) Apr $20.70B $18B $24.86B
Monday, Jun 08
11:00AM May Consumer Inflation Expectations May 3.6%