Perfectly Acceptable Conclusion to a Potentially Volatile Week

Perfectly Acceptable Conclusion to a Potentially Volatile Week

With markets closed for the Juneteenth holiday on Friday, Thursday marked the end of the trading week. Considering the sell-off on Wednesday afternoon, the week had the potential to end on an uncomfortably volatile note. Instead, bonds pushed back nicely in the other direction--even though MBS didn't recoup as much of their losses as 10yr Treasuries. True, there is some sense of foreboding in the inability of 10yr yields to move below 4.42%, but all told, the week was actually surprisingly calm after factoring in Thursday's gains.

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Perfectly Acceptable Conclusion to a Potentially Volatile week

MBS & Treasury Markets
UMBS 5.0
98.29
+0.29 
10YR TREASURY
4.437
-0.059 
6/18/2026 1:54PM EST
MBS are still up 5 ticks (.16) on the day but down 7 ticks (.22) from intraday highs. Reprice risk isn't extreme by any means, but it can't be ruled out for jumpier lenders. If you were already planning on locking today and just waiting to see if there would be a positive reprice, there's no longer much sense in waiting.    READ MORE
Today's Mortgage Rates
30YR Fixed
6.58%
-0.04% 
15YR Fixed
6.15%
-0.01% 
6/18/2026
Mortgage rates spiked yesterday after the Fed announcement. The primary driver was the Fed's revised outlook for potential rate hikes later this year. Because the Fed Funds Rate governs ultra-short-term transactions (24hrs or less), it has the biggest impact on the shortest-term debt and a diminishing impact on longer term debt. While the typical mortgage may be ABLE to last for 30 years, in practice, the average mortgage length (due to refinances and sales) is a moving ta...   READ MORE
Economic Calendar
Time Event Period Actual Forecast Prior
Thursday, Jun 18
12:00AM Roll Date - Ginnie Mae 30YR
8:30AM Jun/06 Continued Claims (k) Jun/06 1810K 1800K 1795K
8:30AM Jun Philly Fed Business Index Jun 10.3 10 -0.4
8:30AM Jun/13 Jobless Claims (k) Jun/13 226K 225K 229K
8:30AM Jun Philly Fed Prices Paid Jun 53.20 47.90
10:00AM May CB Leading Index MoM (%) May 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
1:00PM 5-Yr Note Auction (bl) 24
Friday, Jun 19
12:00AM Juneteenth