Issuance and Oil Strike Back
Issuance and Oil Strike Back
Oil prices continue to ebb and flow in concert with the Iran war news cycle. There's no set schedule for such things, but there have been several Mondays where that narrative shifts in the opposite direction from wherever we left off at the end of the previous week. Last Wednesday was a recent low for oil and prices have risen since then. Today's increase was a bit of an acceleration so it's no surprise to see bond yields follow. Bonds also saw some mid-day pressure from an active corporate debt issuance landscape, but it's just as fair to say both oil prices and bonds yields have returned to the exact same levels seen during Tuesday's pre-market hours before the early rally.
Issuance and Oil Strike Back
| Time | Event | Period | Actual | Forecast | Prior |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuesday, Aug 11 | |||||
| 6:00AM | Jul NFIB Business Optimism Index | Jul | 99.8 | 97.5 | 97.4 |
| 8:15AM | ADP Employment Change Weekly | 15.0K | |||
| 9:20AM | NY Fed Bill Purchases 1 to 4 months (%) | $5.179 billion | |||
| 10:00AM | Jul Existing home sales (ml) | Jul | 4.04M | 4.09M | |
| 10:00AM | Jul Exist. home sales % chg (%) | Jul | -2.4% | ||
| 11:30AM | 6-Week Bill Auction (%) | 3.640% | |||
| 1:00PM | 3-Yr Note Auction (bl) | 58 | |||
| Wednesday, Aug 12 | |||||
| 12:00AM | Roll Date - UMBS 30YR | ||||
| 7:00AM | Aug/07 MBA Refi Index | Aug/07 | 709.1 | ||
| 7:00AM | Aug/07 Mortgage Market Index | Aug/07 | 240.0 | ||
| 7:00AM | Aug/07 MBA Purchase Index | Aug/07 | 154.0 | ||
| 8:30AM | Jul m/m CORE CPI (%) | Jul | 0.2% | 0% | |
| 8:30AM | Jul y/y Headline CPI (%) | Jul | 3.4% | 3.5% | |
| 8:30AM | Jul y/y CORE CPI (%) | Jul | 2.5% | 2.6% | |
| 8:30AM | Jul m/m Headline CPI (%) | Jul | 0.1% | -0.4% | |
| 10:30AM | Aug/07 Crude Oil Inventory (ml) | Aug/07 | -1.3M | 2.479M | |
| 12:00PM | WASDE Report (%) | ||||
| 1:00PM | 10-yr Note Auction (bl) | 42 | |||
| 2:00PM | Jul Federal budget (bl) | Jul | $-361.2B | $-120B | |