Account Executive
Community Wholesale Lending
License:
ML Mortgage Corp. dba Community Wholesale Lending
("CWL") NMLS362312

Boring Day But At Least Bonds Turned Green

Boring Day But At Least Bonds Turned Green

Tuesday offered remarkably of interest or consequence for the bond market. The most notable development was the brief visit to 4.75% in 10yr yields followed by the emergence of the quintessential "dip buyer" (i.e. "hey look... yields are high enough again that I think I'm going to buy some Treasuries"). The post-9:30am timing adds emphasis to that mentality among the retail investor community. Apart from that, there were no obvious motivations or relevant data points. Wednesday suffers a similar absence of scheduled events with the only exception being the Fed Minutes release at 2pm ET. 

Latest Video Analysis

Boring Day But at Least it Ended Green

MBS & Treasury Markets
UMBS 5.5
99.35
+0.09 
10YR TREASURY
4.689
-0.017 
8/19/2026 4:49AM EST
Big picture momentum has been calmly but clearly skewed toward higher yields for almost 10 months. There have been a few attempts to bounce at technical ceilings along the way up from 4.0% 10yr yields (4.3%, 4.42%, and 4.75%). August has been mostly sideways near the longer-term highs, but the first two days of this week have set up another challenge of the 4.75% technical ceiling. From a simple "value buying" standpoint, there's always some magical line in the sand where inv...   READ MORE
Today's Mortgage Rates
30YR Fixed
6.75%
+0.02% 
15YR Fixed
6.31%
+0.01% 
8/18/2026
Mortgage rates rose for the third straight day on Tuesday with the average top-tier 30yr fixed rate moving up a modest 0.02% to 6.75%. Notably, the bond market was actually in slightly better shape compared to yesterday--something that would normally be good news for rates. So what's the catch? As is often the case when bonds and mortgages disagree, the x factor is timing. Mortgage lenders prefer to release rates once per day (usually around 10am ET) and they only change r...   READ MORE
Economic Calendar
Time Event Period Actual Forecast Prior
Wednesday, Aug 19
12:00AM Roll Date - Ginnie Mae 30YR
7:00AM Aug/14 Mortgage Market Index Aug/14 247.7 248.6
7:00AM Aug/14 MBA Purchase Index Aug/14 154.8 157.9
7:00AM Aug/14 MBA Refi Index Aug/14 755.9 744.4
10:30AM Aug/14 Crude Oil Inventory (ml) Aug/14 0.2M 17.422M
1:00PM 20-Yr Bond Auction (bl) 16
2:00PM FOMC Minutes
Thursday, Aug 20
8:30AM Aug/15 Jobless Claims (k) Aug/15 210K 209K
8:30AM Aug Philly Fed Prices Paid Aug 53.90
8:30AM Aug/08 Continued Claims (k) Aug/08 1790K 1777K
8:30AM Aug Philly Fed Business Index Aug 25 41.4
10:00AM Jul CB Leading Index MoM (%) Jul 0.1% -0.2%
1:00PM 30-Yr Bond Auction (bl) 8
Account Executive
Community Wholesale Lending
License:
ML Mortgage Corp. dba Community Wholesale Lending
("CWL") NMLS362312