Michelle Brunn
Mortgage Advisor
Peerless Lending
License:

Incidental Weakness. Bigger Considerations on The Horizon

Incidental Weakness. Bigger Considerations on The Horizon

Without any data or compelling market movers, bonds came into the day light on inspiration. Low volume/liquidity left the door open for any determined traders to have a bigger-than-normal influence on the market. That arguably happened between 9am and 10:30am ET with both stocks and bonds losing ground simultaneously. This coincided perfectly with an uptick in Fed rate hike expectations seen via near-term Fed Funds Futures.

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Incidental Weakness. Bigger Considerations on The Horizon

MBS & Treasury Markets
UMBS 5.5
99.12
-0.14 
10YR TREASURY
4.737
+0.035 
8/21/2026 3:19PM EST
Prices haven't changed much from the time of the first alert, but MBS have spent more time pushing the lows of the day. Treasuries are also suggesting a bit of extra weakness.  5.5 UMBS are now down 5 ticks (.16) on the day and versus many lenders' morning rate sheet print times. This makes negative reprices slightly more possible than they were a few hours ago.    READ MORE
Today's Mortgage Rates
30YR Fixed
6.77%
+0.01% 
15YR Fixed
6.61%
+0.31% 
8/21/2026
For all practical purposes, Friday's mortgage rates were unchanged versus Thursday's, but if we're splitting hairs, the average lender rose 0.01% to 6.77% for a top tier 30yr fixed.  While many news outlets continue focusing on the mid-week announcement regarding Treasury's bond buyback program, today's bond market volatility was unrelated. Current levels are close to where they were before Wednesday's announcement and that makes sense to anyone who Wednesday's marke...   READ MORE
Economic Calendar
Time Event Period Actual Forecast Prior
Friday, Aug 21
9:45AM Aug S&P Global Services PMI Aug 56.8 54 54.6
9:45AM Aug S&P Global Manuf. PMI Aug 53.2 53.9 53.9
9:45AM Aug S&P Global Composite PMI Aug 56.0 54.5
Monday, Aug 24
Michelle Brunn
Mortgage Advisor
Peerless Lending
License: