Mortgage Advisor / Branch Manager
Fairway Mortgage
License:
1639987

Oil Down, Yields Down

Oil Down, Yields Down

No point in wasting time/words on analysis when cause and effect remains so simple. After news regarding potential progress is peace negotiations, an overnight drop in oil prices coincided perfectly with a drop in Treasury yields. The end. 

Latest Video Analysis

Tune Out The Noise (Part 2)

MBS & Treasury Markets
UMBS 5.5
99.52
+0.25 
10YR TREASURY
4.648
-0.049 
8/25/2026 9:14AM EST
No point in wasting time/words on analysis when cause and effect remains so simple. After news regarding potential progress is peace negotiations, an overnight drop in oil prices coincided perfectly with a drop in Treasury yields. The end.    READ MORE
Today's Mortgage Rates
30YR Fixed
6.78%
+0.01% 
15YR Fixed
6.62%
+0.01% 
8/24/2026
Mortgage rates are based on bonds, but whereas bonds improved slightly from Friday's levels, mortgage rates are microscopically higher for the average lender. The issue is timing. Mortgage lenders set rates last Friday during a time of day when bonds were at their best levels. In other words, today's improvement is only an improvement relative to Friday's closing levels. If we were to compare just the time of day when lenders set mortgage rates, bonds are flat to slightly ...   READ MORE
Economic Calendar
Time Event Period Actual Forecast Prior
Tuesday, Aug 25
8:00AM Fed Barkin Speech
8:15AM ADP Employment Change Weekly 11.75K 9.5K
8:30AM Jul Building Permits (ml) Jul 1.433M 1.443M 1.374M
9:00AM Jun FHFA Home Price Index m/m (%) Jun 0% 0.2% 0.3%
9:00AM Jun FHFA Home Prices y/y (%) Jun 2.3% 2.2%
9:00AM Jun Case Shiller Home Prices-20 y/y (% ) Jun 2.1% 1.7% 1.6%
9:00AM Jun CaseShiller 20 mm nsa (%) Jun 0.4% 0.9%
10:00AM Jul New Home Sales (ml) Jul 0.607M 0.62M 0.628M
10:00AM Jul New Home Sales (%) (%) Jul -10.5% 1.6%
10:00AM Aug CB Consumer Confidence (%) Aug 89.4 90.2 90.8
11:30AM 6-Week Bill Auction (%) 3.650% 3.645%
1:00PM 2-Yr Note Auction (bl) 69
4:00PM Fed Barkin Speech
Wednesday, Aug 26
7:00AM Aug/21 MBA Refi Index Aug/21 755.9
7:00AM Aug/21 MBA Purchase Index Aug/21 154.8
7:00AM Aug/21 Mortgage Market Index Aug/21 247.7
8:30AM Q2 Corporate profits (% ) Q2 0.5%
8:30AM Q2 PCE Prices (Q/Q) Q2 5.1% 4.6%
8:30AM Jul PCE prices (m/m) (%) Jul 0.1% -0.1%
8:30AM Q2 GDP Final Sales (%) Q2 2.2% 1.9%
8:30AM Q2 Core PCE Prices QoQ Q2 3.4% 4.4%
8:30AM Jul Durable goods (%) Jul 0.7% 0.3%
8:30AM Jul Core PCE (y/y) (%) Jul 3.3% 3.3%
8:30AM Jul Core PCE (m/m) (%) Jul 0.2% 0.1%
8:30AM Jul Core CapEx (%) Jul 0.9%
8:30AM Jul PCE (y/y) (%) Jul 3.7%
8:30AM Q2 GDP (%) Q2 1.5% 2.1%
10:30AM Aug/21 Crude Oil Inventory (ml) Aug/21 1.9M 4.405M
11:30AM 2-Yr Note Auction (bl) 28
11:45AM Fed Barkin Speech
1:00PM 2-Year FRN Auction (%) 0.050%
1:00PM 5-Yr Note Auction (bl) 70
8:00PM Jackson Hole Symposium
Mortgage Advisor / Branch Manager
Fairway Mortgage
License:
1639987