Branch Manager and Mortgage Advisor
The Sullivan Group at CrossCrountry Mortgage
License:
NMLS237837 & CCM NMLS3029

Bonds Bounce Back After Mid-Day Stumble

Bonds Bounce Back After Mid-Day Stumble

Bonds began the day in stronger territory following overnight reports of regarding a potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Yields and oil prices moved steadily higher after that, ultimately rising into negative territory following Trump's UN speech. Subsequent newswires pushed back in the other direction. These involved claims of contact between the U.S. and the Iranian delegation on the sidelines of the UN general assembly as well as Trump comments regarding momentum toward a deal. None of the above was sweeping or definitive, but it was enough to bring oil prices back to session lows and for bonds to move back into positive territory. 

Latest Video Analysis

Bonds Bounce Back After Mid-Day Stumble

MBS & Treasury Markets
UMBS 6.0
99.83
+0.01 
10YR TREASURY
4.963
-0.002 
9/23/2026 5:59AM EST
MBS are now down an eighth of a point from AM highs (but just barely weaker on the day). Jumpier lenders could already be considering negative reprices. Upward pressure in oil prices only explains some of the weakness (oil is still lower day-over-day).    READ MORE
Today's Mortgage Rates
30YR Fixed
7.17%
-0.02% 
15YR Fixed
6.83%
+0.00% 
9/22/2026
Mortgage rates didn't move much on Tuesday, but at least it was in the right direction. Perhaps more exciting is the fact that the average lender is now at the lowest levels in a week with top-tier 30yr fixed rates at 7.17% versus 7.19% yesterday. This matches September 14th's rates. Before that, you'd have to go back to January, 2025 to see anything higher.  Motivation came from familiar sources as oil prices moved lower after overnight headlines regarding a potentia...   READ MORE
Economic Calendar
Time Event Period Actual Forecast Prior
Wednesday, Sep 23
7:00AM Sep/18 Mortgage Market Index Sep/18 227.3 230.8
7:00AM Sep/18 MBA Purchase Index Sep/18 154.9 156.2
7:00AM Sep/18 MBA Refi Index Sep/18 611.0 627.1
9:45AM Sep S&P Global Composite PMI Sep 56
9:45AM Sep S&P Global Manuf. PMI Sep 53.6 53.9
9:45AM Sep S&P Global Services PMI Sep 56 56.5
10:05AM Fed Barr Speech
10:30AM Sep/18 Crude Oil Inventory (ml) Sep/18 -0.6M -0.64M
11:30AM 2-Yr Note Auction (bl) 28
11:30AM 2-Year FRN Auction (%) 0.055%
1:00PM 5-Yr Note Auction (bl) 70
8:00PM President Trump and President Xi Summit (%)
8:00PM UN General Assembly (%)
Thursday, Sep 24
4:10AM Fed Williams Speech
8:00AM Fed Barkin Speech
8:30AM Aug Building Permits (ml) Aug 1.394M 1.433M
8:30AM Sep/12 Continued Claims (k) Sep/12 1750K 1730K
8:30AM Sep/19 Jobless Claims (k) Sep/19 201K 196K
8:50AM Fed Hammack Speech
8:50AM Fed Hammack Speech
9:20AM NY Fed Bill Purchases 4 to 12 months (%) $1.946 billion
10:00AM Aug New Home Sales (ml) Aug 0.62M 0.607M
10:00AM Aug New Home Sales (%) (%) Aug -10.5%
10:10AM Fed Paulson Speech
1:00PM 7-Yr Note Auction (bl) 44
8:00PM UN General Assembly (%)
Branch Manager and Mortgage Advisor
The Sullivan Group at CrossCrountry Mortgage
License:
NMLS237837 & CCM NMLS3029