Yields "Plummet" to Best Level In...
Yields "Plummet" to Best Level In...
4 trading days... All the way back on October 2nd (last Friday), intraday lows were 5.151%. In other words, today's rally was definitely nice and definitely worth discussing, but if we're witnessing the inception of anything legitimately exciting here, it's in an embryonic stage as of today. 10yr yields would need to be below 5.0% just over a month from now to confirm a truly big shift. As for drivers, we'd have a hard time reconciling today's friendly reversal without giving some credit to investors "buying the dip" in bond prices (or the supportive ceiling in yields around 5.33-5.35). Additional mid-day gains followed war headlines and a decently strong 30yr bond auction. No major data tomorrow.
Full Recovery
| Time | Event | Period | Actual | Forecast | Prior |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thursday, Oct 08 | |||||
| 8:30AM | Oct/03 Jobless Claims (k) | Oct/03 | 197K | 200K | 197K |
| 8:30AM | Sep/26 Continued Claims (k) | Sep/26 | 1716K | 1710K | 1701K |
| 9:20AM | NY Fed Bill Purchases 1 to 4 months (%) | $3.891 billion | |||
| 1:00PM | 30-Yr Bond Auction (bl) | 22 | |||
| 1:40PM | Fed Musalem Speech | ||||
| Friday, Oct 09 | |||||
| 12:00AM | Roll Date - UMBS 30YR | ||||
| 10:00AM | Oct Sentiment: 5y Inflation (%) | Oct | 3.4% | ||
| 10:00AM | Oct Consumer Sentiment (ip) | Oct | 47.6 | 48.1 | |
| 10:00AM | Oct U Mich conditions | Oct | 50.5 | 50.9 | |
| 10:00AM | Oct Sentiment: 1y Inflation (%) | Oct | 4.6% | ||
| 12:00PM | WASDE Report (%) | ||||
| 4:00PM | Fed Collins Speech | ||||
