Mortgage Banker
Frontier Mortgage
License:
1406168

Nearly Unchanged After As-Expected PPI

Nearly Unchanged After As-Expected PPI

This morning's Producer Price Index (PPI) came out as expected. The components that impact core PCE were also uneventful. Stocks and bonds initially rallied but the gains were erased in less than 20 minutes. Higher oil prices coincided with the bounce toward higher yields, but the longer-term correlation remains weak enough that we wouldn't read too much into that. After 9:30am, stocks are selling off enough to bring bond yields just a hair lower from intraday highs. All-in-all, we suspect the modest weakness in 10yr Treasuries is best viewed through the lens of traders squaring yesterday's curve trading positions amid lighter mid-November liquidity.  5yr yields just hit 'unchanged' levels and MBS are close to doing the same. 

Latest Video Analysis

Why Did Bonds Sell Off So Sharply Today?

MBS & Treasury Markets
UMBS 6.0
98.76
0.00 
10YR TREASURY
5.131
+0.002 
11/13/2026 11:14AM EST
This morning's Producer Price Index (PPI) came out as expected. The components that impact core PCE were also uneventful. Stocks and bonds initially rallied but the gains were erased in less than 20 minutes. Higher oil prices coincided with the bounce toward higher yields, but the longer-term correlation remains weak enough that we wouldn't read too much into that. After 9:30am, stocks are selling off enough to bring bond yields just a hair lower from intraday highs. All-in-a...   READ MORE
Today's Mortgage Rates
30YR Fixed
7.42%
+0.12% 
15YR Fixed
7.00%
+0.08% 
11/12/2026
Thursdays are frequently "fun" in the world of mortgage rate reporting because that's when Freddie Mac releases its weekly rate survey. Despite updating its methodology several years ago, Freddie's survey still relies on rate quotes entered by humans and it is still an average of the 5 business days ending on the Wednesday of any given week.  That means Freddie's survey result can be quite outdated on weeks with significant movement on Tue-Thu. Why should we care? Simp...   READ MORE
Economic Calendar
Time Event Period Actual Forecast Prior
Friday, Nov 13
12:00AM Roll Date - UMBS 15YR, Ginnie Mae 15YR
8:30AM Oct PPI y/y Oct 6.5% 6.6% 6.3%
8:30AM Oct PPI m/m (%) Oct 0.3% 0.4% 1.3%
8:30AM Oct Core PPI y/y (%) Oct 5% 5% 5%
8:30AM Oct Core PPI m/m (%) Oct 0.3% 0.3% 0.7%
Monday, Nov 16
8:30AM Nov NY Fed Manufacturing Nov 25.5
12:00PM NOPA Crush Report
Mortgage Banker
Frontier Mortgage
License:
1406168