When getting a sense of what's happening in the bond market, it's frequently safe to ignore the last 2 hours of trading on Friday and the first 2 on Monday. When that logic is applied today, we found this morning's 10am yields precisely in line with Friday's 3pm levels and MBS doing just a bit better. There was just a bit of additional improvement after the Dallas Fed Survey.

20250428 open2.png

20250428 open.png

This is the only day of the week without any major data or calendar event in the morning hours. Broader market focus remains on equities and earnings season, but Treasuries get quarterly refunding estimates at 3pm--something that can occasionally have a very noticeable impact.