Scott Green
Home Loan Consultant
Monument Mortgage Group
P: (602) 971-0544 x1
M: (602) 577-8311
www.scotthelps.com
21501 N. 78th Ave #100
Phoenix AZ 85382
License:
Company NMLS #2512600
Individual NMLS #155901
David Rickey
Home Loan Consultant
Monument Mortgage Group
P: (602) 971-0544 x2
www.azmonument.com
21501 N. 78th Ave
#100
Peoria AZ 85382
License:
Company NMLS # 2512600
Individual NMLS #1493357
MBS & US Treasury Markets
UMBS 5.0
99.82 -0.14
GNMA 5.0
100.07 -0.13
UMBS-15 5.0
101.23 -0.09
10 YR TREAS
4.061 +0.031
30 YR TREAS
4.665 +0.013
9/17 3:41:59PM EST : Delayed Data
30YR UMBS 5.0 30YR GNMA 5.0 15YR UMBS 5.0 10 Year Treasury 30 Year Treasury
Negative Reprice Risk Increasing
Wed, Sep 17 2025, 2:55 PM

Rally reversal continues.  MBS now down a quarter point on the day and 10yr up 5bps at 4.08. 

General reason: Powell's push-back on dots as predictive of 3 cuts in 2025.

Negative reprices are becoming more likely.

Alert:
Gains Vanish As Press Conference Begins
Update:
First Reaction to Fed Announcement is Stronger
09:48 AM

Modestly stronger overnight and little-changed so far this morning.  MBS up 1 tick (.03) and 10yr down half a bp at 4.027

11:34 AM

Just barely weaker now.  MBS down 1 tick (.03) and 10yr up less than half a bp at 4.035

02:06 PM

Stronger after the dot plot.  MBS up just over an eighth and 10yr down 3.3bps at 3.998

02:40 PM

MBS now down 2 ticks (.06) on the day. 10yr yields are up 2.3bps at 4.053

02:56 PM

MBS now down a quarter point on the day and 10yr up 5bps at 4.08

Scott Green
Home Loan Consultant
Monument Mortgage Group
P: (602) 971-0544 x1
M: (602) 577-8311
www.scotthelps.com
21501 N. 78th Ave #100
Phoenix AZ 85382
License:
Company NMLS #2512600
Individual NMLS #155901
David Rickey
Home Loan Consultant
Monument Mortgage Group
P: (602) 971-0544 x2
www.azmonument.com
21501 N. 78th Ave
#100
Peoria AZ 85382
License:
Company NMLS # 2512600
Individual NMLS #1493357
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