Bonds Hold Ground Despite Some Healing in Tech

Bonds Hold Ground Despite Some Healing in Tech

Monday was exceptionally uneventful for the bond market--as is more often than not the case for data-free Mondays without any other major developments. There were some minor developments though. Tech stocks bounced back a bit, closing at their best level since last Wednesday. Corporate bond yields for Coreweave (a recent focal point for tech sector contagion potential) also moved slightly lower. On most recent occasions, that would imply upward pressure on mortgage rates. In that light, today's sideways performance was a victory.

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Bonds Hold Ground Despite Some Healing in Tech

MBS & Treasury Markets
UMBS 6.0
99.39
-0.02 
10YR TREASURY
4.993
-0.004 
10/25/2026 8:20PM EST
Bonds are technically just a hair stronger this morning, but in the slightly bigger picture, nothing has happened yet this week (not that we'd expect that to be the case before 10am on a Monday). The tech stock narrative that precipitated a sharp bond rally last Thursday continues to consolidate in a sideways pattern. Bonds are doing the same. Both are waiting for whatever's next. Wednesday's Fed announcement could be a source of inspiration if any forward guidance manages to...   READ MORE
Today's Mortgage Rates
30YR Fixed
7.33%
+0.00% 
15YR Fixed
6.99%
+0.01% 
10/26/2026
It was an uneventful day for mortgage rates , which is just the sort of thing you want to see when the average lender is just a hair above the lowest levels in more than a month. There were no significant economic reports or other market developments that caused any major volatility for rates/bonds. The dominant theme, of late, has been investor rotation out of AI-related assets and into the bond market. Excess demand for bonds is good for rates, all else equal. But there'...   READ MORE
Economic Calendar
Time Event Period Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Oct 26
10:30AM Oct Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index Oct 13.4 9.8
Tuesday, Oct 27
8:00AM Sep Building Permits (ml) Sep 1.4M 1.403M
8:15AM ADP Employment Change Weekly 18.5K
8:30AM Sep Durable goods (%) Sep 1.5% 0%
8:30AM Sep Core CapEx (%) Sep 0.7% 1.6%
9:00AM Aug FHFA Home Price Index m/m (%) Aug 0.1% 0.3%
9:00AM Aug CaseShiller 20 mm nsa (%) Aug 0%
9:00AM Aug FHFA Home Prices y/y (%) Aug 2.6%
9:00AM Aug Case Shiller Home Prices-20 y/y (% ) Aug 2.5% 2.5%
10:00AM Oct CB Consumer Confidence (%) Oct 81 81.9
10:00AM Sep New Home Sales (ml) Sep 0.65M 0.684M
1:00PM 5-Year Note Auction 5.033%