Bonds Shake Off Mid-Day Weakness to Hold Mostly Steady

Bonds Shake Off Mid-Day Weakness to Hold Mostly Steady

Bonds took a break from their recent trend of moderate day over day movement to hold relatively steady on Wednesday. Econ data didn't get in the way in any noticeable way.  If anything, ISM data briefly helped bonds move away from the day's weaker levels. But the key underlying consideration was a stable, sideways performance in fuel prices. MBS and Treasuries were technically a hair weaker, but it's just as fair to say they were "unchanged." Familiar risks remain in the day's ahead depending on Iran war headlines and Friday's NFP.

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Bonds Shake Off Mid-Day Weakness to Hold Mostly Steady

MBS & Treasury Markets
UMBS 5.5
99.57
-0.03 
10YR TREASURY
4.621
+0.007 
8/5/2026 3:55PM EST
U.S. REMOVES IRAN-RELATED SANCTIONS -TREASURY WEBSITE We have not been able to independently confirm that the the sanctions news exists on Treasury's website, but the newswire exists and markets are reacting. MBS are back to within 1 tick (.03) of unchanged and 10yr yields are within a fraction of a bp at 4.616. This alleviates any reprice risk that had been building into the 10am hour.    READ MORE
Today's Mortgage Rates
30YR Fixed
6.75%
+0.00% 
15YR Fixed
6.29%
+0.00% 
8/5/2026
The bond market and mortgage rates have been on the move lower recently after hitting longer term highs at the end of July. Today offered a break from the recent movement with bonds and rates holding perfectly flat day-over-day. The upside is that this means it's yet another day spent at the lowest levels in more than 2 weeks.  The average top-tier 30yr fixed rate remained at 6.75%.  Flat oil prices helped facilitate the flat bond market performance.  Ris...   READ MORE
Economic Calendar
Time Event Period Actual Forecast Prior
Wednesday, Aug 05
7:00AM Jul/31 MBA Purchase Index Jul/31 154.0 159.8
7:00AM Jul/31 Mortgage Market Index Jul/31 240.0 247.2
7:00AM Jul/31 MBA Refi Index Jul/31 709.1 723.1
8:15AM Jul ADP jobs (k) Jul 44K 70K 98K
9:45AM Jul S&P Global Services PMI Jul 54.6 53.6 51.2
9:45AM Jul S&P Global Composite PMI Jul 54.5 53.6 51.9
10:00AM Jul ISM Biz Activity Jul 59.1 55.4
10:00AM Jul ISM Services Employment Jul 47.4 51.2
10:00AM Jul ISM Services New Orders Jul 57.2 55.1
10:00AM Jul ISM Services Prices Jul 70.3 67.7
10:00AM Jul ISM N-Mfg PMI Jul 54.1 54.5 54.0
10:30AM Jul/31 Crude Oil Inventory (ml) Jul/31 2.479M -1.5M -7.167M
4:05PM Fed Cook Speech
Thursday, Aug 06
5:30AM Jul Challenger layoffs (k) Jul 45.849K
8:30AM Jul/25 Continued Claims (k) Jul/25 1790K 1782K
8:30AM Aug/01 Jobless Claims (k) Aug/01 202K 197K
8:30AM Q2 Unit Labour Costs QoQ Final Q2 2.1% 1.8%
9:20AM NY Fed Bill Purchases 4 to 12 months (%) $3.453 billion
5:30PM Fed Musalem Speech