Fairly Swift Reversal at NYSE Open

Fairly Swift Reversal at NYSE Open

As has been the case so many times in recent months, the 9:30am NYSE open proved to be the most actionable time of morning for the bond market. Tech stocks got brutalized with the NASDAQ plummeting to match late July lows. Coreweave is one of 19 stocks in the NASDAQ 100 down more than 10%, and currently trading near its all time lows from mid 2025.  Bonds reacted in lock-step at first, but they're showing their unwillingness to fully buy into the stock market's message. 10s are just barely positive as of 10;30am. MBS are back to 'unchanged." 

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MBS & Treasury Markets
UMBS 6.0
100.22
+0.02 
10YR TREASURY
4.841
-0.044 
11/5/2026 11:00AM EST
As has been the case so many times in recent months, the 9:30am NYSE open proved to be the most actionable time of morning for the bond market. Tech stocks got brutalized with the NASDAQ plummeting to match late July lows. Coreweave is one of 19 stocks in the NASDAQ 100 down more than 10%, and currently trading near its all time lows from mid 2025. Bonds reacted in lock-step at first, but they're showing their unwillingness to fully buy into the stock market's message. 10s ar...   READ MORE
Today's Mortgage Rates
30YR Fixed
7.22%
+0.00% 
15YR Fixed
6.86%
+0.01% 
11/5/2026
30yr fixed rates moved over 7.25% on September 23rd, 2026 and continued to long-term highs of 7.61% by early October. But starting in mid October, rates began declining as the market grew increasingly concerned about the tech sector. Until today 7.27% marked the floor of the present rally. Now the floor is lower. Rates began the day moderately lower with an average top-tier 30yr fixed rate of 7.25%. Reasons can be debated, but may include: Investors coming off the sidel...   READ MORE
Economic Calendar
Time Event Period Actual Forecast Prior
Thursday, Nov 05
5:30AM Oct Challenger layoffs (k) Oct 43.994K 43.281K
8:30AM Q3 Nonfarm Productivity QoQ Final Q3 3.6% 2.8% 1.4%
8:30AM Q3 Unit Labour Costs QoQ Final Q3 -0.7% 0.6% 1.2%
8:30AM Oct/24 Continued Claims (k) Oct/24 1718K 1710K 1701K
8:30AM Oct/31 Jobless Claims (k) Oct/31 189K 196K 194K
10:20AM NY Fed Bill Purchases 1 to 4 months $3.652 billion
Friday, Nov 06
8:30AM Oct Participation Rate Oct 61.8%
8:30AM Oct Average earnings mm (%) Oct 0.3% 0.1%
8:30AM Oct Unemployment rate mm (%) Oct 4.2% 4.2%
8:30AM Oct Non Farm Payrolls (k) Oct 65K 29K
10:00AM Nov Sentiment: 5y Inflation (%) Nov 3.5%
10:00AM Nov U Mich conditions Nov 48 46.7
10:00AM Nov Sentiment: 1y Inflation (%) Nov 4.7%
10:00AM Nov Consumer Sentiment (ip) Nov 48 48.0
3:00PM Sep Consumer credit (bl) Sep $12B $8.28B