Global Bond Market in Reprice Mode
Global Bond Market in Reprice Mode
Around here, "reprice" typically refers to mid-day rate changes from mortgage lenders, but infrequently, a big picture repricing occurs in the bond market. That's what's going on in March and especially over the last 2.5 days. Wednesday's Fed comments and Thursday's ECB/BOE comments confirmed that there's a floor under short term rates for a vast majority of the planet's reserve currency holdings, AND that hikes are quickly replacing cuts as the next likely move (September Fed meeting went from 0% hike chance to more than 25% in less than 2 days). Trading and investment strategies of a majority of the world's investible capital was positioned for an entirely different reality before the Iran war. Now it is repositioning... repricing for new realities.
Snowball Selling
| Time | Event | Period | Actual | Forecast | Prior |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday, Mar 23 | |||||
| 10:00AM | Jan Construction spending (%) | Jan | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| Tuesday, Mar 24 | |||||
| 8:15AM | ADP Employment Change Weekly | 9K | |||
| 9:20AM | NY Fed Bill Purchases 1 to 4 months (%) | $8.071 billion | |||
| 9:45AM | Mar S&P Global Composite PMI | Mar | 51.9 | ||
| 9:45AM | Mar S&P Global Services PMI | Mar | 51.7 | 51.7 | |
| 9:45AM | Mar S&P Global Manuf. PMI | Mar | 51 | 51.6 | |
| 10:00AM | Feb New Home Sales (%) (%) | Feb | |||
| 10:00AM | Feb New Home Sales (ml) | Feb | 0.745M | ||
| 1:00PM | 2-Yr Note Auction (bl) | 69 | |||
| 6:30PM | Fed Barr Speech | ||||