Today Was "Nice" For Bonds
Today Was "Nice" For Bonds
Bonds bucked their prevailing trend and managed to move slightly lower in yield today. Unlike yesterday's session which had no clear correlation with underlying events, today's move traced a drop in oil prices fairly clearly. Some analysts thought that an improvement in French government bonds may have been mildly encouraging as well, but that would require drawing the opposite conclusions from last week's narrative about French bond turmoil benefiting the U.S. as a safer haven. In any event, the rally was too small to merit that much thought. Yields encountered resistance at 5.26%, but could also be broadly finding buying support when yields crest 5.3%. Bottom line, today was "nice," but in and of itself, not enough to suggest a meaningful shift in momentum.
Today Was Nice For Bonds
| Time | Event | Period | Actual | Forecast | Prior |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuesday, Oct 06 | |||||
| 8:15AM | ADP Employment Change Weekly | 23.75K | 20K | ||
| 8:30AM | Aug Trade Gap (bl) | Aug | $-105.6B | $-102B | $-88.6B |
| 10:00AM | Oct IBD economic optimism | Oct | 46.8 | 44.5 | 45.6 |
| 1:00PM | 3-Yr Note Auction (bl) | 58 | |||
| Wednesday, Oct 07 | |||||
| 7:00AM | Oct/02 Mortgage Market Index | Oct/02 | 213.6 | ||
| 7:00AM | Oct/02 MBA Refi Index | Oct/02 | 557.8 | ||
| 7:00AM | Oct/02 MBA Purchase Index | Oct/02 | 148.2 | ||
| 10:30AM | Oct/02 Crude Oil Inventory (ml) | Oct/02 | 0.922M | ||
| 11:00AM | Sep Consumer Inflation Expectations | Sep | 3.6% | ||
| 1:00PM | 10-yr Note Auction (bl) | 39 | |||
| 2:00PM | FOMC Minutes | ||||
| 3:00PM | Aug Consumer credit (bl) | Aug | $15B | $18.06B | |