Chris Munson
SVP and Managing Director US Sales and Operations
The Money House

Early Gains. Flat Afternoon. MBS Underperform

Early Gains. Flat Afternoon. MBS Underperform

Friday ended up offering a boring conclusion to a week that had at least some measure of excitement on Wednesday. Bonds started a hair stronger, lost ground modestly and then rallied to the day's best levels by noon. From there, 10yr yields went perfectly sideways in an ultra narrow range. MBS managed to hang on to just barely positive levels but gave up about an eighth of a point during the time Treasuries were holding steady. Technically, this is underperformance in a vacuum, but in the bigger picture, MBS have been doing just fine in relative terms. As a reminder, next week is 3.5 days thanks to Independence Day observance, and the jobs report will be on Thursday morning. 

Latest Video Analysis

Early Gains. Flat Afternoon. MBS Underperform

MBS & Treasury Markets
UMBS 5.0
98.66
+0.07 
10YR TREASURY
4.374
-0.017 
6/26/2026 3:35PM EST
Q2 has been one of the best quarters for stocks going all the way back to the dot com boom, even after the 4-5% pullback in June. This has created a massive quarter-end rebalancing need among money managers and we've seen that random volatility play out in both stocks and bonds over the past few weeks. As the quarter wraps up in the next 3 business days, this could continue to drive volatility, but hopefully/probably less than it did earlier this week. Bonds are starting out ...   READ MORE
Today's Mortgage Rates
30YR Fixed
6.53%
+0.00% 
15YR Fixed
6.12%
+0.00% 
6/26/2026
Mortgage rates officially hit their lowest level in more than a month yesterday with MND's 30yr fixed index falling to 6.53% from 6.55% on Wednesday. Today was completely unchanged at 6.53%, thus maintaining the lowest level since May 14th, 2026.  There weren't any dramatic developments behind the scenes in term of economic data or news headlines (not that we'd expect them when rates hold perfectly flat). This week's broader improvement can be attributed to buying dem...   READ MORE
Economic Calendar
Time Event Period Actual Forecast Prior
Friday, Jun 26
10:00AM Jun U Mich conditions Jun 47.7 48.9 45.8
10:00AM Jun Consumer Sentiment (ip) Jun 49.5 50 44.8
10:00AM Jun Sentiment: 5y Inflation (%) Jun 3.3% 3.4% 3.9%
10:00AM Jun Sentiment: 1y Inflation (%) Jun 4.6% 4.6% 4.8%
10:30AM Fed Williams Speech
11:30AM Fed Kashkari Speech
Monday, Jun 29
Chris Munson
SVP and Managing Director US Sales and Operations
The Money House