Bonds Lose Almost All The Overnight Gains
Bonds Lose Almost All The Overnight Gains
Bonds rallied sharply overnight--adding onto an already decent rally yesterday afternoon that took 10yr yields from 4.38% to 4.23% in less than 24 hours. Now at Wednesday's close, we're back to unchanged levels near 4.30%. The move follows a similar correction seen in longer-term oil futures and, in a general sense, a news cycle that made the ceasefire seem increasingly tenuous as the day progressed. The absence of a bigger, sustained rally speaks to the uncertainty surrounding the U.S. withdrawal from the Middle East as well as lingering impacts on energy costs that may still flow through to inflation data.
Bonds Give Up Almost All The Overnight Gains
| Time | Event | Period | Actual | Forecast | Prior |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thursday, Apr 09 | |||||
| 8:30AM | Apr/04 Jobless Claims (k) | Apr/04 | 210K | 202K | |
| 8:30AM | Mar/28 Continued Claims (k) | Mar/28 | 1840K | 1841K | |
| 8:30AM | Feb PCE prices (m/m) (%) | Feb | 0.4% | 0.3% | |
| 8:30AM | Q4 PCE Prices (Q/Q) | Q4 | 2.9% | 2.8% | |
| 8:30AM | Feb Core PCE (y/y) (%) | Feb | 3% | 3.1% | |
| 8:30AM | Feb Core PCE (m/m) (%) | Feb | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 8:30AM | Q4 Core PCE Prices QoQ | Q4 | 2.7% | 2.9% | |
| 8:30AM | Feb PCE (y/y) (%) | Feb | 2.8% | 2.8% | |
| 8:30AM | Q4 GDP Final Sales (%) | Q4 | 0.4% | 4.5% | |
| 8:30AM | Q4 GDP (%) | Q4 | 0.7% | 4.4% | |
| 8:30AM | Q4 Corporate profits (% ) | Q4 | 4.7% | ||
| 12:00PM | WASDE Report (%) | ||||
| 1:00PM | 30-Yr Bond Auction (bl) | 22 | |||
| 1:00PM | 30-Year Bond Auction | 4.871% | |||
| Friday, Apr 10 | |||||
| 12:00AM | Roll Date - UMBS 30YR | ||||
| 8:30AM | Mar m/m Headline CPI (%) | Mar | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 8:30AM | Mar m/m CORE CPI (%) | Mar | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 8:30AM | Mar y/y CORE CPI (%) | Mar | 2.7% | 2.5% | |
| 8:30AM | Mar y/y Headline CPI (%) | Mar | 3.3% | 2.4% | |
| 10:00AM | Feb Factory orders mm (%) | Feb | -0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10:00AM | Apr Consumer Sentiment (ip) | Apr | 52 | 53.3 | |
| 10:00AM | Apr U Mich conditions | Apr | 55.8 | ||
| 10:00AM | Apr Sentiment: 5y Inflation (%) | Apr | 3.2% | ||
| 10:00AM | Apr Sentiment: 1y Inflation (%) | Apr | 3.8% | ||
| 2:00PM | Mar Federal budget (bl) | Mar | $-308B | ||