Broker/Owner
Collaborative Capital
License:
NMLS# 278724
NMLS# 2385760

Pre-Market Gains Stuck Around All Day

Pre-Market Gains Stuck Around All Day

The entirety of the domestic trading session was very flat compared to the ground covered during the overnight session. Pre-market headlines regarding a potential peace deal accounted for a 7bp drop in 10yr yields and 3/8th point improvement in MBS. 10s gained about 1 more bp by the close and MBS added another eighth of a point, bringing to total rally over half a point on the day as of 4pm ET.  There were no other notable market movers by the time domestic trading hours began. The rally speaks to the likelihood that an official peace deal could create more rally momentum, but also to the market's susceptibility to war-related headlines. 

Latest Video Analysis

Pre-Market Gains Stuck Around All Day

MBS & Treasury Markets
UMBS 5.0
98.91
+0.09   
10YR TREASURY
4.336
-0.011   
5/7/2026 4:57AM EST
There was one, big, obvious market mover overnight. At 4:50am ET, Axios reported that the U.S. and Iran are close to signing a one page memo of understanding to end the war. Oil and bond yields were already in recovery mode, but this kicked things into higher gear. Most of the gains remain even after both sides offered refutations (which the market now perceives as merely a negotiation tactic). Subsequent reports from other sources also speak to specific details in the peace ...   READ MORE
Today's Mortgage Rates
30YR Fixed
6.44%
-0.10%   
15YR Fixed
6.00%
-0.04%   
5/6/2026
Mortgage rates spiked sharply on Monday, hitting the highest levels in more than a month as escalation fears ramped up surrounding the Iran war. Yesterday technically saw some recovery, but it may as well have been an "unchanged" day. Now today, we're seeing a more legitimate recovery with the average lender back down to last Friday's levels. The move follows a drop in oil prices inspired by progress toward a peace agreement. News came out overnight that The U.S. and Iran ...   READ MORE
Economic Calendar
Time Event Period Actual Forecast Prior
Thursday, May 07
7:30AM Apr Challenger layoffs (k) Apr 60.62K
8:30AM Apr/25 Continued Claims (k) Apr/25 1800K 1785K
8:30AM Q1 Unit Labour Costs QoQ Final Q1 2.6% 4.4%
8:30AM May/02 Jobless Claims (k) May/02 205K 189K
10:00AM Feb Construction spending (%) Feb
10:00AM Mar Construction spending (%) Mar 0.2% -0.3%
10:20AM NY Fed Bill Purchases 1 to 4 months (%) $7.585 billion
11:00AM Apr Consumer Inflation Expectations Apr 3.4%
2:05PM Fed Hammack Speech
3:00PM Mar Consumer credit (bl) Mar $12.5B $9.48B
3:30PM Fed Williams Speech
Friday, May 08
5:45AM Fed Cook Speech
8:30AM Apr Participation Rate Apr 61.9%
8:30AM Apr Average earnings mm (%) Apr 0.3% 0.2%
8:30AM Apr Unemployment rate mm (%) Apr 4.3% 4.3%
8:30AM Apr Non Farm Payrolls (k) Apr 60K 178K
10:00AM May Consumer Sentiment (ip) May 49.5 49.8
10:00AM May U Mich conditions May 52.5
10:00AM May Sentiment: 5y Inflation (%) May 3.5%
10:00AM May Sentiment: 1y Inflation (%) May 4.7%
7:30PM Fed Daly Speech
7:30PM Fed Goolsbee Speech
7:30PM Fed Waller Speech
7:30PM Fed Bowman Speech
Broker/Owner
Collaborative Capital
License:
NMLS# 278724
NMLS# 2385760