Broker/Owner
Collaborative Capital
License:
NMLS# 278724
NMLS# 2385760

Uneventful Summertime Monday

Uneventful Summertime Monday

Volume and--sometimes--volatility can be generally lower in the middle of the summertime months as fewer traders are consistently at bond desks--especially on days adjacent to 3-day holiday weekends. Today was a classic example. Bonds barely budged and volume is on track for one of the lightest full trading days of the year. In many ways, today was simply a 4th weekend day and we'll know more about how bonds are feeling on Tuesday. But at the very least, it's somewhat constructive to be starting the week without any extension of last week's selling pressure.

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Uneventful Summertime Monday

MBS & Treasury Markets
UMBS 5.0
98.24
+0.15 
10YR TREASURY
4.479
-0.007 
7/6/2026 3:20PM EST
Bonds weathered the 3-day weekend without issue. We started the day modestly stronger, but have moved back closer to unchanged levels in the first 2 hours. The day's only big-ticket (or semi-big-ticket?) econ data was the ISM Services index, but admittedly, that has more of an impact when it's released BEFORE the jobs report. Moreover, it was right in line with expectations at 54.0 vs 54.0, so even if this had come out last week, it may not have moved the needle.  The...   READ MORE
Today's Mortgage Rates
30YR Fixed
6.59%
-0.01% 
15YR Fixed
6.16%
-0.01% 
7/6/2026
Volatility is always a risk surrounding 3 day holiday weekends when it comes to markets and mortgage rates , but this time around, things have been very calm. The average top-tier 30yr fixed rate remained almost perfectly flat versus last Thursday with the MND index technically falling by 0.01%. This week's calendar of scheduled events is less consequential than last week's. After today, there is essentially no big-ticket economic data. In the bigger picture, 30yr fixed ...   READ MORE
Economic Calendar
Time Event Period Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Jul 06
9:45AM Jun S&P Global Services PMI Jun 51.2 51.4 50.7
9:45AM Jun S&P Global Composite PMI Jun 51.9 52.2 51.5
10:00AM Jun ISM Services Employment Jun 51.2 47.9
10:00AM Jun ISM Services New Orders Jun 55.1 57.3
10:00AM Jun ISM Biz Activity Jun 55.4 57.7
10:00AM Jun ISM Services Prices Jun 67.7 71.3
10:00AM Jun ISM N-Mfg PMI Jun 54.0 54 54.5
11:00AM Fed Waller Speech
Tuesday, Jul 07
8:15AM ADP Employment Change Weekly 30.75K
8:30AM May Trade Gap (bl) May $-78.0B $-55.9B
9:20AM NY Fed Bill Purchases 4 to 12 months (%) $3.319 billion
10:00AM Jul IBD economic optimism Jul 45 42.5
11:00AM Jun Consumer Inflation Expectations Jun 3.5%
11:30AM 6-Week Bill Auction (%) 3.655%
1:00PM 3-Yr Note Auction (bl) 58
Broker/Owner
Collaborative Capital
License:
NMLS# 278724
NMLS# 2385760