Broker/Owner
Collaborative Capital
License:
NMLS# 278724
NMLS# 2385760

Mostly Sideways and Lacking Inspiration

Mostly Sideways and Lacking Inspiration

Tuesday may as well have been a holiday. Volumes were among the lowest for any day in weeks and the lowest for a Tuesday in several months. The economic calendar was effectively empty and news/headlines had no discernible impact. There was token improvement in the AM hours but that merely served to keep yields in an increasingly narrow consolidation pattern that's been underway for over a month.

Latest Video Analysis

Mostly Sideways and Lacking Inspiration

MBS & Treasury Markets
UMBS 5.0
97.92
+0.04 
10YR TREASURY
4.505
-0.008 
6/22/2026 8:55PM EST
Yesterday's most interesting development was the visible decoupling of bond yields with oil prices. To a lesser extent, one could also lament that mid-morning stock selling failed to benefit bonds, but that's far from a regular correlation these days. In fact, the stock/bond correlation is often reversed when the market is adjusting Fed rate expectations. Today's trading session has seen some re-coupling with yields/oil/stocks all falling together. Some of the bond-specific w...   READ MORE
Today's Mortgage Rates
30YR Fixed
6.65%
-0.01% 
15YR Fixed
6.19%
-0.01% 
6/23/2026
Mortgage rates may be based directly on the bond market, but the two don't always move in perfect lock-step. Today was a good example of that. Bonds improved enough for rates to move modestly lower according to typical correlation. Instead, the average mortgage lender improved by the smallest possible amount that we register on our daily rate index. When this happens, it's often able to be explained by the timing of intraday volatility in the bond market and that's general...   READ MORE
Economic Calendar
Time Event Period Actual Forecast Prior
Tuesday, Jun 23
8:15AM ADP Employment Change Weekly 30.75K 25.5K
9:45AM Jun S&P Global Manuf. PMI Jun 55.7 54.8 55.1
9:45AM Jun S&P Global Composite PMI Jun 52.2 51.5
9:45AM Jun S&P Global Services PMI Jun 51.3 51 50.7
11:30AM 6-Week Bill Auction (%) 3.620% 3.600%
1:00PM 2-Yr Note Auction (bl) 69
Wednesday, Jun 24
7:00AM Jun/19 Mortgage Market Index Jun/19 269.5
7:00AM Jun/19 MBA Refi Index Jun/19 810.2
7:00AM Jun/19 MBA Purchase Index Jun/19 170.8
8:30AM May Building Permits (ml) May 1.413M 1.423M
9:20AM NY Fed Bill Purchases 4 to 12 months (%) $3.319 billion
10:00AM May New Home Sales (ml) May 0.64M 0.622M
10:00AM May New Home Sales (%) (%) May -6.2%
10:30AM Jun/19 Crude Oil Inventory (ml) Jun/19 -5.1M -8.262M
11:30AM 2-Yr Note Auction (bl) 28
11:30AM 2-Year FRN Auction (%) 0.089%
1:00PM 5-Yr Note Auction (bl) 70
4:00PM Fed Bank Stress Test Results
Broker/Owner
Collaborative Capital
License:
NMLS# 278724
NMLS# 2385760