Broker/Owner
Collaborative Capital
License:
NMLS# 278724
NMLS# 2385760

Bonds Almost Able to Break Even Thanks to Tech Turmoil

Bonds Almost Able to Break Even Thanks to Tech Turmoil

Tech stocks embarked on a wild ride starting with earnings releases after the bell yesterday. While today's recap title mentions "breaking even," if we were to measure today's bond market movement versus yesterday's 3pm ET levels, 10yr yields are more than 5bps lower. In other words, those earnings releases created a big late-day rally yesterday and today became largely about trying to hold onto the gains. By mid-day, bonds were a bit weaker with 10yr yields approaching 4.96%. Around 1240pm, news broke regarding Anthropic being unlikely to receive an "investment grade" rating after its IPO. This pushed the NASDAQ even deeper into negative territory and helped bonds make it most of the way back to "unchanged" by 3pm. 

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Bonds Almost Able to Break Even Thanks to Tech

MBS & Treasury Markets
UMBS 6.0
99.76
-0.07 
10YR TREASURY
4.940
+0.018 
10/30/2026 1:25PM EST
FT is reporting Anthropic may not receive an "investment grade" rating after its forthcoming IPO. This would make AI-related financing more expensive and generally contribute to the "tech jitters" that have helped Treasuries/MBS over the past few weeks.  MBS instantly erased most of the losses on the news. 6.0 coupons are now down only 1 tick (.03) versus 4 ticks (.125) before the news. 10yr yields are up 1bp at 4.933, but down more than 2bps since the news came ...   READ MORE
Today's Mortgage Rates
30YR Fixed
7.27%
-0.02% 
15YR Fixed
6.92%
-0.03% 
10/30/2026
The rate market continues taking cues from turmoil in the tech sector. That resulted in the lowest rates in more than a month today as tech stocks slide to their lowest levels since July.  The biggest shift for the underlying bond market (bonds dictate rates) came just before 1pm on reports that Anthropic's post IPO credit rating was not likely to be "investment grade." That matters because it means Anthropic would face higher borrowing costs.  Given the company...   READ MORE
Economic Calendar
Time Event Period Actual Forecast Prior
Friday, Oct 30
8:30AM Q3 Employment costs (%) Q3 0.8% 0.8% 0.9%
9:45AM Oct Chicago PMI Oct 55.3 56.1 58.8
Monday, Nov 02
9:45AM Oct S&P Global Manuf. PMI Oct 56 55.9
10:00AM Oct ISM Manufacturing Employment Oct 52.7
10:00AM Oct ISM Mfg Prices Paid Oct 77.5 77.9
10:00AM Oct ISM Manufacturing PMI Oct 54.7 54.5
10:00AM Sep Construction spending (%) Sep 0.6% 0.9%
2:00PM Loan Officer Survey
7:00PM Midterm Elections (%)
Broker/Owner
Collaborative Capital
License:
NMLS# 278724
NMLS# 2385760