Broker/Owner
Collaborative Capital
License:
NMLS# 278724
NMLS# 2385760

Yields End Higher Despite Some Mid-Day Solace

Yields End Higher Despite Some Mid-Day Solace

As has been almost constantly the case for the past few months, today's ebbs and flows in the bond market were tightly tied to the Iran war news cycle. Yields spiked after AM headlines suggested Iran was not interested in negotiating as long as fighting continues between Israel and Lebanon. Bonds bounced back in a friendlier direction after mid-day news that Trump would talk to Netanyahu about de-escalating. Nothing conclusive came from that conversation by the 3pm ET close and 10yr yields remained roughly 3bps higher on the day. Tuesday's slate of potential volatility receives an additional (though mild) layer of complication from the job openings data at 10am ET.

Latest Video Analysis

Yields End Higher Despite Some Mid-Day Solace

MBS & Treasury Markets
UMBS 5.0
98.42
+0.09 
10YR TREASURY
4.434
-0.023 
6/2/2026 1:29AM EST
Full coverage of reasons is in the AM commentary . MBS are now down 3/8ths of a point on the day and 10 ticks (.31) from intraday highs. 10s are up 6bps at 4.497.   READ MORE
Today's Mortgage Rates
30YR Fixed
6.60%
+0.04% 
15YR Fixed
6.10%
+0.01% 
6/1/2026
Following last week's relatively strong move to the lowest levels since May 14th, mortgage rates bounced slightly higher to start the news week. The move followed a clear shift in the Iran war news cycle with morning headlines citing Iranian officials saying the peace negotiation were effectively tabled as long as hostilities remained between Israel and Lebanon. As a refresher, the Iran war is bad for rates primarily due to the actual and implied impact on inflation due t...   READ MORE
Economic Calendar
Time Event Period Actual Forecast Prior
Tuesday, Jun 02
1:50AM Fed Kashkari Speech
8:30AM Fed Hammack Speech
10:00AM Apr JOLTs Job Quits (ml) Apr 3.171M
10:00AM Apr USA JOLTS Job Openings (ml) Apr 6.82M 6.866M
10:10AM Jun IBD economic optimism Jun 44.5 42.6
11:30AM 6-Week Bill Auction (%) 3.620%
Wednesday, Jun 03
7:00AM May/29 MBA Purchase Index May/29 169.7
7:00AM May/29 Mortgage Market Index May/29 259.4
7:00AM May/29 MBA Refi Index May/29 753.7
8:15AM May ADP jobs (k) May 110K 109K
9:00AM Fed Barr Speech
9:45AM May S&P Global Composite PMI May 51.7 51.7
9:45AM May S&P Global Services PMI May 50.9 51.0
10:00AM May ISM Services New Orders May 53.5
10:00AM May ISM N-Mfg PMI May 53.7 53.6
10:00AM May ISM Services Employment May 48.0
10:00AM May ISM Biz Activity May 55.9
10:00AM Apr Factory orders mm (%) Apr 4.6% 1.5%
10:00AM May ISM Services Prices May 70.7
10:30AM May/29 Crude Oil Inventory (ml) May/29 -3.327M
2:00PM May Total Vehicle Sales (ml) May 16M 15.9M
2:00PM Fed Beige Book
4:00PM Fed Logan Speech
Broker/Owner
Collaborative Capital
License:
NMLS# 278724
NMLS# 2385760