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Decent Gains Amid De-Escalation Headlines
Decent Gains Amid De-Escalation Headlines
Don't worry about what actually happened, who actually spoke to whom, and the details of the conversations that may or may not have happened. Today's simplest fact is that the President said things that can be filed under the heading of "de-escalation" of the Iran war and markets were obviously and immediately willing to respond. It's the response that's encouraging-regardless of the details. By no means does this constitute the big shift we're waiting for, but it at least suggests such a shift will be possible when the war is truly over.
Weaker overnight then sharply stronger just after 7am on "war might end" headlines. MBS up 6 ticks (.19) and 10yr down 1.8bps at 4.366 after being as high as 4.442 just before 7am.
Additional gains on additional Iran negotiation headlines. MBS up nearly 3/8ths and 10yr down 3.8bps at 4.345
Well off highs. MBS up 5 ticks (.16) on the day and 10yr down only 1.8bps at 4.365
Nice recovery. MBS up 3/8ths and 10yr down 5.5bps at 4.328
Decent Gains Amid De-Escalation Headlines
| Time | Event | Period | Actual | Forecast | Prior |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday, Mar 23 | |||||
| 10:00AM | Jan Construction spending (%) | Jan | -0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Tuesday, Mar 24 | |||||
| 8:15AM | ADP Employment Change Weekly | 9K | |||
| 9:20AM | NY Fed Bill Purchases 1 to 4 months (%) | $8.071 billion | |||
| 9:45AM | Mar S&P Global Composite PMI | Mar | 51.9 | ||
| 9:45AM | Mar S&P Global Services PMI | Mar | 51.7 | 51.7 | |
| 9:45AM | Mar S&P Global Manuf. PMI | Mar | 51 | 51.6 | |
| 10:00AM | Feb New Home Sales (%) (%) | Feb | |||
| 10:00AM | Feb New Home Sales (ml) | Feb | 0.745M | ||
| 1:00PM | 2-Yr Note Auction (bl) | 69 | |||
| 6:30PM | Fed Barr Speech | ||||
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