Back and Forth on Oil and NVDA

Back and Forth on Oil and NVDA

Bonds began the overnight session in roughly unchanged territory and were mostly sideways until just after 8am when Trump said "we don't need a deal with Iran." Oil prices and bond yields spiked in response. There was a modest recovery in response to NVDA announcing Huang resigning as CEO but now more selling pressure as the NASDAQ recovers at the 9:30am NYSE open.

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Is This The End of The Friendly Trend?

MBS & Treasury Markets
UMBS 6.0
99.04
-0.39 
10YR TREASURY
5.041
+0.055 
11/12/2026 9:40AM EST
Just a heads up for jumpy lenders with early rate sheets. MBS are down 3/8ths on the day and roughly 6 ticks (.19) since 9:30am ET. The NYSE open saw a fairly quick recovery in stocks and a bounce back toward AM highs for bond yields. The jumpiest/earliest lenders could technically justify a negative reprice (assuming they were out with rates at or before 9:35am.   READ MORE
Today's Mortgage Rates
30YR Fixed
7.30%
+0.12% 
15YR Fixed
6.92%
+0.09% 
11/10/2026
Rates enjoyed a remarkably calm winning streak over the past month with the worst single day resulting in a 0.06% increase for a top tier 30yr fixed loan and the average day seeing a 0.02% decline. That streak was dealt its first serious blow today following a hotter than expected in the Consumer Price Index (CPI)--a key inflation report. Even though the Fed's official inflation target is based on Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE), we'll be waiting another 2 weeks for...   READ MORE
Economic Calendar
Time Event Period Actual Forecast Prior
Thursday, Nov 12
8:30AM Nov/07 Jobless Claims (k) Nov/07 200K 195K 189K
8:30AM Oct/31 Continued Claims (k) Oct/31 1697K 1710K 1718K
10:00AM Oct Existing home sales (ml) Oct 3.75M 3.85M 3.99M
12:00PM Nov/06 Crude Oil Inventory (ml) Nov/06 -1.1M -0.865M
1:00PM 30-Year Bond Auction 5.618%
2:00PM Oct Federal budget (bl) Oct $-298.6B $-27B
Friday, Nov 13
12:00AM Roll Date - UMBS 15YR, Ginnie Mae 15YR
8:30AM Oct PPI y/y Oct 6.6% 6.3%
8:30AM Oct PPI m/m (%) Oct 0.4% 1.3%
8:30AM Oct Core PPI y/y (%) Oct 5% 5%
8:30AM Oct Core PPI m/m (%) Oct 0.3% 0.7%