Early Strength Gives Way to Steady Selling

Early Strength Gives Way to Steady Selling

Bonds started the day in fairly good shape with a rally at the open and a certain measure of defiance of another jump in fuel prices. The defiance quickly gave way to underperformance--a fact that suggests short-term tradeflow considerations for the bond market or perhaps that we're simply putting the trading day under too much of a microscope. Either way, both yields and oil prices were higher by the end of the day although the 10yr avoided breaking above last week's highs.

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Early Strength Gives Way to Steady Selling

MBS & Treasury Markets
UMBS 5.5
98.75
-0.01 
10YR TREASURY
4.789
-0.001 
9/9/2026 1:55AM EST
MBS are now down 5 ticks (.16) on the day and many lenders are seeing 5 ticks of weakness from AM rate sheet print times.  Several headlines have hit the wires this afternoon regarding escalation in the Iran war and oil prices are moving back up toward domestic session highs.  Jumpier, earlier lenders are at slightly more risk of repricing now compared to at the time of the first alert of the day (12:06pm ET).    READ MORE
Today's Mortgage Rates
30YR Fixed
6.89%
+0.00% 
15YR Fixed
6.49%
+0.00% 
9/8/2026
Top tier 30yr fixed mortgage rates started the week right where they were on Friday for the average lender. At 6.89%, we're just a hair below the highest mark since June 2025. In general, rates have been increasing steadily since the Iran war ceasefire ended with the uptick frequently correlating with higher fuel prices. Today's "unchanged" rates require an asterisk. Although mortgage rates are based on bonds and although bonds move constantly throughout the day, mortgage...   READ MORE
Economic Calendar
Time Event Period Actual Forecast Prior
Wednesday, Sep 09
7:00AM Sep/04 MBA Purchase Index Sep/04 157.8
7:00AM Sep/04 Mortgage Market Index Sep/04 247.3
7:00AM Sep/04 MBA Refi Index Sep/04 732.6
8:15AM ADP Employment Change Weekly 11.75K
1:00PM 10-yr Note Auction (bl) 39
Thursday, Sep 10
8:30AM Aug/29 Continued Claims (k) Aug/29 1790K 1779K
8:30AM Sep/05 Jobless Claims (k) Sep/05 205K 206K
8:30AM Aug Core PPI m/m (%) Aug 0.3% 0.2%
8:30AM Aug Core PPI y/y (%) Aug 4.6% 4.2%
8:30AM Aug PPI y/y Aug 5.3% 4.7%
8:30AM Aug PPI m/m (%) Aug 0.4% 0%
9:20AM NY Fed Bill Purchases 4 to 12 months (%) $2.122 billion
10:00AM Aug Existing home sales (ml) Aug 3.99M 4.06M
10:00AM Aug Exist. home sales % chg (%) Aug -1.7%
12:00PM Sep/04 Crude Oil Inventory (ml) Sep/04 -4.45M
1:00PM 30-Yr Bond Auction (bl) 22
1:00PM 30-Year Bond Auction 5.216%