Traders Cautiously Buying The Dip

Traders Cautiously Buying The Dip

Things got a bit worse before they got better over the weekend. 10yr yields were as high as 4.58% in overnight trading, but are now down 1-2bps in early domestic trading. Oil prices mirrored the same movement overnight, but haven't recovered as much as bond yields. In fact, bonds arguably led the move lower with a gradual rally starting just after 5am ET. Most of the drop in oil prices followed news that Israel agreed to halt today's attacks in Lebanon. There is no big ticket econ data on tap. War headlines remain relevant as does the bond market's ongoing range-finding after Friday's rout.

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MBS & Treasury Markets
UMBS 5.0
97.68
-0.10 
10YR TREASURY
4.553
+0.021 
6/8/2026 1:40PM EST
Bonds started the day in stronger territory but have been selling since 9:30am. Trading levels are right in line with Friday afternoon's lows, but MBS are down 6 ticks (.19) from this morning's highs. The jumpiest lenders could be considering a negative reprice if they released rates before 10am. 10yr yields are up 2bps at 4.552.   READ MORE
Today's Mortgage Rates
30YR Fixed
6.68%
+0.02% 
15YR Fixed
6.20%
+0.07% 
6/8/2026
Over the past three months, mortgage rate movement has been driven primarily by developments in the Iran war. It's not that war, itself, is a consideration, but rather the implications for fuel prices and inflation. Bonds care deeply about inflation and interest rates are based directly on bonds. When inflation isn't raging (or at the risk of raging), rates/bonds spend most of their time thinking about the economy. Lately, the data has been even-keeled enough that it hasn...   READ MORE
Economic Calendar
Time Event Period Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Jun 08
11:00AM May Consumer Inflation Expectations May 3.5% 3.6%
Tuesday, Jun 09
6:00AM May NFIB Business Optimism Index May 96.0 95.9
8:15AM ADP Employment Change Weekly 35.75K
8:30AM Apr Trade Gap (bl) Apr $-56.4B $-60.3B
9:20AM NY Fed Bill Purchases 4 to 12 months (%) $3.288 billion
10:00AM May Exist. home sales % chg (%) May 0.2%
10:00AM May Existing home sales (ml) May 4.06M 4.02M
11:30AM 6-Week Bill Auction (%) 3.625%
12:00PM EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook (%)
1:00PM 3-Yr Note Auction (bl) 58