Luxury Real Estate Professional
Gina Mancuso Luxury Real Estate
License:
02146794

Another Weak Jobs Report. Another Bond Rally

Another Weak Jobs Report. Another Bond Rally

It's a fairly straightforward morning with NFP coming in much weaker than expected with additional net-negative revisions to the previous 2 months. The only real caveat is that the unemployment rate suggests a more gentle softening of labor market conditions--a fact that likely accounts for 10yr yields "only" being 6-7bps lower in the first half hour of post-NFP trading.  The other way to account for it is to say that bonds had already rallied from 4.3 to 4.16 in the 3 days leading up to this morning.  That overall move is about the same size as the 8/1 post-NFP rally. Either way, bad news for labor market is good news for rates.

Econ Data / Events
    • Nonfarm Payrolls
      • 22k vs 75k f'cast, 79k prev
    • Unemployment Rate
      • 4.3 vs 4.3 f'cast, 4.2 prev
Market Movement Recap
08:41 AM

Stronger after NFP. MBS up a quarter point and 10yr down 6.1bps at 4.097

09:15 AM

Rally continues.  MBS up 3/8ths and 10yr down 9bps at 4.069

12:53 PM

Calmly holding strongest levels. MBS up 11 ticks (.34) and 10yr down 8.6bps at 4.071

02:48 PM

Off the best levels by about an eighth with MBS up a quarter point and 10yr yields down 7.2bps at 4.086

Luxury Real Estate Professional
Gina Mancuso Luxury Real Estate
License:
02146794