Another Weak Jobs Report. Another Bond Rally
Another Weak Jobs Report. Another Bond Rally
It's a fairly straightforward morning with NFP coming in much weaker than expected with additional net-negative revisions to the previous 2 months. The only real caveat is that the unemployment rate suggests a more gentle softening of labor market conditions--a fact that likely accounts for 10yr yields "only" being 6-7bps lower in the first half hour of post-NFP trading. The other way to account for it is to say that bonds had already rallied from 4.3 to 4.16 in the 3 days leading up to this morning. That overall move is about the same size as the 8/1 post-NFP rally. Either way, bad news for labor market is good news for rates.
Stronger after NFP. MBS up a quarter point and 10yr down 6.1bps at 4.097
Rally continues. MBS up 3/8ths and 10yr down 9bps at 4.069
Calmly holding strongest levels. MBS up 11 ticks (.34) and 10yr down 8.6bps at 4.071
Off the best levels by about an eighth with MBS up a quarter point and 10yr yields down 7.2bps at 4.086