Luxury Real Estate Professional
Gina Mancuso Luxury Real Estate
License:
02146794

Bonds Hold Gains Despite Ongoing Recovery in Stocks

Bonds Hold Gains Despite Ongoing Recovery in Stocks

The stock market factored into the bond market's performance on Friday.  In pre-market trading stocks managed a big bounce after NY Fed's Williams spoke favorably about December's rate cut potential. Bonds benefited from that comment initially, but the stock rally quickly forced bonds to find a floor for the day. From then on, stocks continued putting upward pressure on rates, but the net effect was that bonds simply held sideways whereas they might have otherwise continued to rally.

Latest Video Analysis

Bonds Hold Gains Despite Ongoing Recovery in Stocks

MBS & Treasury Markets
UMBS 5.0 99.50 +0.17 10YR 4.065% -0.019% 11/21/2025 5:00PM EST
Bonds have been giving up gains in concert with a big bounce in stocks. 10yr yields are now unchanged at 4.085--the highest levels of the day. MBS are also at lows.  Despite being modestly stronger on the day, prices are down an eighth of a point from AM highs. As such, the jumpier lenders could be considering negative reprices.    READ MORE
Today's Mortgage Rates
30YR Fixed 6.34% -0.02% 15YR Fixed 5.82% -0.03% 11/21/2025
Recent stock market losses have gotten a lot attention in the news recently. While there's no reliable correlation between stocks and interest rates , when stock losses are as big as they have been recently, it increases the tendency for rates to move in the same direction.  That was definitely the case today. Bonds (which dictate rates) improved overnight as stocks sank further. But as early as 7am, a reversal began to take shape. The catalyst was a comment from NY F...   READ MORE
Economic Calendar
Time Event Period Actual Forecast Prior
Friday, Nov 21
7:30AM Fed Williams Speech
8:30AM Fed Barr Speech
8:45AM Fed Jefferson Speech
9:00AM Fed Logan Speech
9:00AM Fed Collins Speech
9:45AM Nov S&P Global Composite PMI Nov 54.8 54.5 54.6
9:45AM Nov S&P Global Manuf. PMI Nov 51.9 52 52.5
9:45AM Nov S&P Global Services PMI Nov 55.0 54.6 54.8
10:00AM Aug Wholesale inventories (o (%) Aug 0% -0.2% 0%
10:00AM Nov Sentiment: 5y Inflation (%) Nov 3.4% 3.6% 3.9%
10:00AM Nov U Mich conditions Nov 51.1 52.3 58.6
10:00AM Nov Consumer Sentiment (ip) Nov 51.0 50.5 53.6
10:00AM Nov Sentiment: 1y Inflation (%) Nov 4.5% 4.7% 4.6%
Monday, Nov 24
1:00PM 2-Yr Note Auction (bl) 69
Read My Latest Newsletter
This week marked the return of delayed economic data from the government shutdown. Specifically, we received the important jobs report that was set to come out in early October. While this is September's data, and thus a bit stale, it was nonetheless responsible for the biggest volume spike in the bond market since the last Fed meeting. Such is the power of the jobs report relative to other econom... READ MORE
Luxury Real Estate Professional
Gina Mancuso Luxury Real Estate
License:
02146794