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Roughly Unchanged After Moderate Headline-Driven Volatility
Thu, Apr 9 2026, 3:55 PM
MBS Recap
Roughly Unchanged After Moderate Headline-Driven Volatility
MBS Recap Matthew Graham | 3:54 PM
Roughly Unchanged After Moderate Headline-Driven Volatility
As has been the recent custom, there were dueling headlines concerning the Iran war today with opposing claims regarding the status of the Israel/Lebanon ceasefire. If that sounds like kind of a stretch when it comes to bond market significance, bond traders agreed. That said, it was still traded to some extent. This resulted in mid-day volatility that took bonds from slightly weaker to slightly stronger territory, and then back to being roughly unchanged. Econ data was a relative non-event in the morning, but Friday's data has a slightly better chance of garnering a response.
Very flat overnight. Slightly weaker after data. MBS down 2 ticks (.06) and 10yr up half a bp at 4.30
10:31 AM
weakest levels. MBS down 9 ticks (.28) and 10yr up 1.4bps at 4.311
11:38 AM
10s now down 1bp at 4.285. MBS are within 1 tick (.03) of unchanged.
01:39 PM
Best levels of the day for 10s, down 3.2bps at 4.264. MBS unchanged (also near opening highs).
03:37 PM
Off the best levels, but not with sustained selling. MBS down 2 ticks (.06) and 10yr down 1bp at 4.288
Lock / Float Considerations
4/9/26 - Bonds seem to be getting more and more desensitized to war-related headlines. They've also done a good job of avoiding any major selling except when that selling marks a rebound from even stronger buying (like Wednesday). In general, there's been more room for risk-tolerant views this week vs last, but risks increase a bit as we head into the weekend, and even as we wait for Friday AM's econ data.
Yes to the loan that unlocks the joy of home ownership.
Yes to the lending solution that meets every client’s unique needs and wants.
That’s why we dedicate our every resource to serve as your personal guide through the lending process, solving problems, building confidence. Aslan has access to every lending option leading to the purchase or refinance of a residential home loan.
This is more than work for us. It is our unique joy in this life to share our collective skill, creativity, and care to bring you and your family right to where you belong.
