Bonds Inch to Best Levels in Over 3 Weeks
Bonds Inch to Best Levels in Over 3 Weeks
It's a data-free Monday on a holiday-shortened week and there aren't any high-impact headlines or massive stock swings to spark any serious bond market movement. Nonetheless, bonds have found a reason to rally ever-so-slightly this morning. Because yields were already at the low end of November's range on Friday afternoon, the result is that today's yields are the lowest we've seen since the late October Fed day. The next 2 days have quite a bit of data in addition to running a traditional risk of higher volatility due to holiday week trading conditions. In the bigger picture, we're likely still waiting for the mid-December econ data before bonds would have enough info to threaten the still-relatively-narrow 3 month trading range.
Modestly stronger overnight and holding gains so far. MBS up 2 ticks (.06) and 10yr down 1.3bps at 4.05
MBS up 3 ticks (.09) and 10yr down 1.7bps at 4.047
Bonds Hold Gains Despite Ongoing Recovery in Stocks
| Time | Event | Period | Actual | Forecast | Prior |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday, Nov 24 | |||||
| 1:00PM | 2-Yr Note Auction (bl) | 69 | |||
| Tuesday, Nov 25 | |||||
| 8:15AM | ADP Employment Change Weekly | -2.5K | |||
| 8:30AM | Sep Core Producer Prices MM (%) | Sep | 0.3% | -0.1% | |
| 8:30AM | Sep Retail Sales Control Group MoM | Sep | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 8:30AM | Sep Retail Sales (%) | Sep | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 9:00AM | Sep CaseShiller 20 mm nsa (%) | Sep | -0.6% | ||
| 9:00AM | Sep Case Shiller Home Prices-20 y/y (% ) | Sep | 1.4% | 1.6% | |
| 9:00AM | Sep FHFA Home Price Index m/m (%) | Sep | 0.4% | ||
| 9:00AM | Sep FHFA Home Prices y/y (%) | Sep | 2.3% | ||
| 10:00AM | Aug Business Inventories (% ) | Aug | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 10:00AM | Nov CB Consumer Confidence (%) | Nov | 93.5 | 94.6 | |
| 10:00AM | Oct Pending Home Sales (%) | Oct | 0.0% | ||
| 1:00PM | 2-Yr Note Auction (bl) | 28 | |||
| 1:00PM | 2-Year FRN Auction (%) | 0.190% | |||
| 1:00PM | 5-Yr Note Auction (bl) | 70 | |||