Sideways and Slightly Stronger
Sideways and Slightly Stronger
It was a rather uneventful day with bonds holding sideways in a relatively narrow range after a modest overnight improvement. Intraday correlation with oil prices was fairly poor in the 8-10am window, but generally well-behaved otherwise. Short-end rates (2yr and shorter) were slightly higher on the day, and experienced some earlier volatility surround Fed's Goolsbee's comments on inflation and the rate path. The biggest takeaway there was that the Fed is attempting to assess supply shock inflation versus demand-driven inflation with Goolsbee saying he's hearing reports and seeing some indications of the latter (which implies a higher Fed Funds Rate outlook).
Sideways and Slightly Stronger
| Time | Event | Period | Actual | Forecast | Prior |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday, Sep 21 | |||||
| 6:30AM | Fed Goolsbee Speech | ||||
| 8:00PM | UN General Assembly (%) | ||||
| Tuesday, Sep 22 | |||||
| 8:15AM | ADP Employment Change Weekly | 16.25K | |||
| 10:05AM | Fed Williams Speech | ||||
| 10:20AM | Fed Jefferson Speech | ||||
| 11:30AM | 6-Week Bill Auction (%) | 3.850% | |||
| 1:00PM | 2-Yr Note Auction (bl) | 69 | |||
| 1:00PM | Fed Barkin Speech | ||||
| 8:00PM | UN General Assembly (%) | ||||