Senior Vice President Director Residential Lending
Penn Community Bank

Bond Yields Not Eager to Follow Stocks Lower

Bond Yields Not Eager to Follow Stocks Lower

Bonds were initially stronger in the overnight session with 10yr yields briefly falling under 4.90%. The rally generally aligned with overnight losses in the stock market, at least at first. When European markets came online, bonds began drifting more sideways even as stocks gradually declined to new lows. Given that today is month-end and that much of this month has seen quite a lot of volatility, it's reasonable to expect compulsory month-end trades to set the tone. Translation: bonds could do their own thing for their own reasons regardless of what's going on in stocks. Some analysts are reporting that month-end rebalancing models are calling for selling some bonds and buying some stocks, but we wouldn't lose sleep over that one unless stocks end up surging into positive territory. 

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MBS & Treasury Markets
UMBS 6.0
99.78
-0.05 
10YR TREASURY
4.945
+0.023 
10/30/2026 8:44AM EST
Bonds were initially stronger in the overnight session with 10yr yields briefly falling under 4.90%. The rally generally aligned with overnight losses in the stock market, at least at first. When European markets came online, bonds began drifting more sideways even as stocks gradually declined to new lows. Given that today is month-end and that much of this month has seen quite a lot of volatility, it's reasonable to expect compulsory month-end trades to set the tone. Tr...   READ MORE
Today's Mortgage Rates
30YR Fixed
7.29%
-0.06% 
15YR Fixed
6.95%
-0.05% 
10/29/2026
After 4 rather uneventful trading days, the bond market (which underlies interest rate movement) experienced a bit more volatility today. Fortunately, it was volatility in a friendly direction. 10yr Treasury yields ended the day at their lowest level since September 22nd. Mortgage rates dropped to their lowest mark since September 23rd for the average lender.  [thirtyyearmortgagerates] Bond gains coincided with moments of weakness in the stock market, primarily at...   READ MORE
Economic Calendar
Time Event Period Actual Forecast Prior
Friday, Oct 30
8:30AM Q3 Employment costs (%) Q3 0.8% 0.8% 0.9%
9:45AM Oct Chicago PMI Oct 55.3 56.1 58.8
Monday, Nov 02
9:45AM Oct S&P Global Manuf. PMI Oct 56 55.9
10:00AM Oct ISM Manufacturing Employment Oct 52.7
10:00AM Oct ISM Mfg Prices Paid Oct 77.9
10:00AM Oct ISM Manufacturing PMI Oct 54.5
10:00AM Sep Construction spending (%) Sep 0.9%
7:00PM Midterm Elections (%)
Senior Vice President Director Residential Lending
Penn Community Bank