Matt Graham
Founder and CEO
MBS Live
MBS & US Treasury Markets
7/16 5:22:00PM EST : Delayed Data

TRUMP LIKELY TO FIRE POWELL SOON, WHITE HOUSE OFFICIAL SAYS

OFFICIAL CAUTIONS THERE IS NO EXACT TIMELINE

The newswires above are causing a huge explosion of volume in the bond market with the first 5 minutes outpacing the 5 minutes following yesterday's CPI release. 10yr yields have risen, which is to be expected in this scenario (i.e. shorter term bonds/bills would hold steady or improve based on expectations for a more dovish Fed chair but the market would trade the longer end higher in yield).

10yr yields are nearly back to unchanged levels at 4.48.

MBS are doing a bit better by comparison--still up almost an eighth on the day, but also down an eighth from the highs.  Jumpy lenders could technically justify a negative reprice if this move doesn't reverse course quickly. 

08:32 AM

Slightly stronger after PPI.  MBS up 3 ticks (.09) and 10yr down 2.4bps at 4.46

11:42 AM

Bonds selling off on headlines regarding Trump considering firing Powell.  MBS now unchanged on the day and 10yr nearly unchanged at 4.48

12:41 PM

Headlines retracted, but bonds not retracing the weakness.  10yr still close to unchanged at 4.48.  MBS up 2 ticks (.06) on the day

Matt Graham
Founder and CEO
MBS Live