MBS & US Treasury Markets
3/12 9:51:53AM EST : Delayed Data
  • Core M/M CPI
    • 0.2 vs 0.3  f'cast. 0.5 prev
    • unrounded 0.2266
  • Core Y/Y CPI
    • 3.1 vs 3.2 f'cast, 3.3 prev

While the upward revision to January (a whopping 0.5, month over month) won't do any favors for progress toward a 2.0% annual target, the market was initially more interested in month-over-month numbers.  The news is better there with the 0.2 vs 0.3, and only a modest overshoot on the unrounded number.

Annualized changes over the past 3 and 6 months are now tracking 3.6% core inflation--a far cry from the 2.0% target.  This could be contributing to indecision and a reversal of the initial gains.

MBS are down 3 ticks and 10yr yields are up 3.7bps at 4.318.

09:31 AM

Weaker overnight and mixed reaction to CPI (mostly ignored). MBS down 1 tick (0.03) and 10yr up 3.6bps at 4.316