Overnight gains mostly holding. MBS up 7 ticks (.22) and 10yr down 4bps at 4.10
Another wave of buying after tariff headlines. 10yr down 8bps at 4.06 and MBS up 10 ticks (.31).
best levels of the day. MBS up just over 3/8ths and 10yr down 9.2bps at 4.048
Even stronger at the close with 10yr down 11bps at 4.033 after new tariffs officially announced.
At the start of the week, we noted Japanese political developments as a key reason for overnight losses on Monday morning. This had to do with Takaichi winning control of Japan's LDP party, thus making her the front runner to become the Prime Minister. Her economic views fueled fears that Japan's central bank would ultimately need to sell Treasuries in order to stabilize currency devaluation. Thus, Treasury yields rose. Now today, another party announced an exit from its coalition with the LDP, thus lowering the odds of the fears that were traded on Monday. Bonds logically rallied in response. Later in the overnight session, a series of comments from Fed's Waller (weak employment, not worried about inflation) added to the gains.