Broker Owner
Lumina Real Estate & Lending
License:
DRE 01471238
NMLS 334006
MBS & US Treasury Markets
1/26 1:08:34PM EST : Delayed Data

This week's only marquee calendar event is Wednesday's Fed announcement, and it's unclear what the Fed could possibly do or say to inspire much of a reaction at this meeting. That leaves the heavy lifting to be done by the likes of the Producer Price Index (PPI) on Friday--a report that often has no impact and only occasionally fills the role of supporting actor. This morning's Durable Goods data has perhaps even less influence and that's good for fans of low rates because it crushed forecasts, coming in at 5.3 vs 3.7.

20260126 open.png

If you squint, you can imagine a small reaction to the tune of half a bp of weakness in 10yr yields, but that's not enough movement to merit more than a passing glance. In any event, yields quickly returned below 8:30am levels, leaving us relatively flat in early trading.

20260126 open2.png

08:43 AM

Slightly stronger overnight. Modest pull-back after Durable Goods. MBS unchanged and 10yr down half a bp at 4.226

12:17 PM

10yr down 1.3bps at 4.215 but off best levels of 4.203 around 10:30am.  MBS up 2 ticks (.06) and at best levels of the day, perhaps signifying some GSE purchases behind the scenes.

Broker Owner
Lumina Real Estate & Lending
License:
DRE 01471238
NMLS 334006