Sr Mortgage Loan Officer
The Frio Team Powered by Peoples Bank & Trust
License:
246527
MBS & US Treasury Markets
5/15 9:40:33PM EST : Delayed Data

This morning's market action is quickly helping us understand the enigmatic trading seen yesterday (i.e. a sell-off without any great scapegoats).  Retail sales' control group was well below expectations and helped validate a moderate overnight rally.  Bigger moves and more sustained volume followed Powell's scheduled speech at the policy framework conference. Perhaps there was a concern that Powell's update would hint at a shift toward tolerating "higher for longer" policy rates in the same way that the 2020 framework review resulted in a "lower for longer" playbook.  The net effect has been a nearly complete reversal of yesterday's weakness, but yields are currently bouncing before finishing that job. 

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09:28 AM

Modestly stronger overnight and catching a "no whammies" bid early.  MBS up 9 ticks (.28) and 10yr yield down 6 bps at 4.475

12:10 PM

Best levels of the day with MBS up nearly half a point and 10yr down 8.5bps at 4.45

02:59 PM

Still near best levels.  MBS up 3/8ths and 10yr down 8bps at 4.456

Sr Mortgage Loan Officer
The Frio Team Powered by Peoples Bank & Trust
License:
246527