MBS & US Treasury Markets
6/25 3:29:11PM EST : Delayed Data

We're sending this out as an update instead of an alert as prices are no lower than they were at 11:20am.  The difference is that Treasury yields are at their weakest levels since before this morning's PCE data and definitely a bit weaker than 11:20am levels.  MBS have also spent more time and volume trading at these post-data lows.

Current prices are exactly an eighth of a point below the AM highs. We'd expect the jumpier lenders to perk up with respect to reprice risk consideration if we lose another 2 ticks (.06, or an outright price of 98-17 / 98.53 in UMBS 5.0 coupons). For those who were already planning on locking today, it's making less and less sense to wait for a potential afternoon rally. 

08:49 AM

Decent gains after PCE comes in on target. MBS up 6 ticks (.19) and 10yr down 1.2bps at 4.375

11:00 AM

MBS up an eighth and 10yr down just under 1bp at 4.379

01:41 PM

MBS still up an eighth but 10yr now down only 0.3bps at 4.384