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moderately weaker overnight. 10yr up 3.5bps at 4.41 and MBS down 7 ticks (.22).
Weakest levels after headlines regarding Iran attacking UAE. MBS down 3/8ths and 10yr up 6bps at 4.435
sideways just off weakest levels. MBS down half a point and 10yr up 7.1bps at 4.447
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The market is actively reacting to a swath of war-related headlines that all generally speak to the notion of escalation in the Iran war. Bond yields are moving up with oil prices, but are also exhibiting some of their own negative momentum even when oil prices have plateaued.
10yr yields are up 8bps at 4.454--now breaking up and over the most recent technical ceiling at 4.42.
MBS are down 18 ticks (.56) on the day and more than a quarter point from most lenders' rate sheet print times. This makes negative reprices increasingly likely. Several lenders have already repriced.