VP | Sr Loan Officer Team
Atlantic Coast Mortgage,. LLC
License:
NMLS ID 1166669
NMLS ID 2408374
MBS & US Treasury Markets
10/21 5:00:56PM EST : Delayed Data

On the one hand, there's not much going on for the bond market these days.  The jobs report is a flat-out requirement in terms of informing major changes in momentum. On the other hand, there are a few concerns in the background that have been helping the general uncertainty resolve in favor of buyers. One of last week's contenders was regional bank losses.  An ongoing consideration is the level of reserves on the Fed balance sheet (not a huge consideration, and mostly baked-in, but probably modestly positive for bonds when the Fed stops letting reserves go lower).

20251021 open2.png

Then there's oil.  Oil should never be mistaken as a primary indicator for bonds. It is infinitely better described as logically correlating due to global economic momentum. But there's no denying oil's role in inflation, and that's yet another small nudge in favor of better bond buying--or at least it can be.

20251021 open.png

10:43 AM

Moderate gains so far this morning.  MBS up 3 ticks (.09) and 10yr down 2.1bps at 3.958

01:49 PM

Treasuries off best levels, but still stronger and broadly sideways.  MBS up 3 ticks (.09) and 10yr down 1.7bps at 3.962

VP | Sr Loan Officer Team
Atlantic Coast Mortgage,. LLC
License:
NMLS ID 1166669
NMLS ID 2408374