Bonds were flat overnight for a change, with just a bit of 2-way volatility but no notable directional movement. Without any new or interesting war-related headlines, what else can we even discuss in May, 2026? There's some econ data in the form of the highest Chicago PMI reading since 2022. At 62.7 vs a 50.5 forecast, it absolutely obliterated expectations, but even that was worth less than 1bp of weakness in 10yr yields. Both MBS and Treasuries remain close enough to unchanged levels as we head into the 10am ET trading hour.
Bonds were flat overnight for a change, with just a bit of 2-way volatility but no notable directional movement. Without any new or interesting war-related headlines, what else can we even discuss in May, 2026? There's some econ data in the form of the highest Chicago PMI reading since 2022. At 62.7 vs a 50.5 forecast, it absolutely obliterated expectations, but even that was worth less than 1bp of weakness in 10yr yields. Both MBS and Treasuries remain close enough to unchanged levels as we head into the 10am ET trading hour.