MBS & US Treasury Markets
9/28 2:34:32PM EST : Delayed Data

More selling pressure after the Dallas Fed Manufacturing Survey, of all things (the second time this report has ever been mentioned by us in 20 years). Some of the charts on this page tell a similar story to last week's S&P PMI: https://www.dallasfed.org/research/surveys/tmos/2026/2609#tab-chart

This isn't the only market mover in play, to be sure, as something is also causing an uptick in oil prices (reports of explosions in several Saudi cites, perhaps?).

10yr yields are up almost 10bos at 5.259 and MBS are down almost 5/8ths, with at least 6 ticks (.19) of that happening after the early lenders released rate sheets. As such, negative reprices are already possible.

08:36 AM

MBS down 11 ticks (.34) and 10yr up 4.8bps at 5.209

11:03 AM

MBS down more than 5/8ths and 10yr up 10.5bps at 5.266