Moderately stronger overnight with implied gains on Monday in Treasury futures. MBS up 6 ticks (.19) and 10yr down roughly 5bps at 4.577
Roughly an eighth of a point below best levels. MBS still up 6 ticks (.19) and 10yr down 5bps at 4.577
Calmly holding gains. MBS up a quarter point and 10yr down 6.2bps at 4.564
Trump issued numerous executive orders on Monday, but conspicuously absent was any specific directive regarding tariffs. This was one of the key areas of focus for financial markets. While there are few different ways it could be traded, one of the simplest was from an inflation standpoint. With specifics TBD, bonds breathed a modest sigh of relief on inflation implications. There was an immediate reaction at 8:30am yesterday (in futures) following WSJ's reporting on the tariff delay. There's been some volatility in the interim, but bonds have managed to improve a bit more since then.