MBS & US Treasury Markets
10/7 1:13:02PM EST : Delayed Data

10yr yields drifted up toward the 4.20% technical level overnight but buyers showed up at the 8:20am CME open. The initial recovery looks more technical in nature. The subsequent buying brought bonds into positive territory and likely had more to do with the day's only real econ data: the NY Fed Survey of Consumer Expectations. The data showed an uptick in unemployment expectations as well as a softening in other labor market metrics. This isn't normally a market mover, but sensitivity is somewhat higher due to the absence of last week's jobs report. 

20251007 open.png

10:38 AM

Modestly weaker overnight, but moving into positive territory now.  MBS up 1 tick (.03) and 10yr down 0.4bps at 4.142

11:56 AM

Gains continue.  MBS up 3 ticks (.09) and 10yr down 2.7bps at 4.121