Modestly weaker overnight with additional selling in the first 2 hours. MBS down 5 ticks (.16) and 10yr up 4.2bps at 4.492
Decent recovery with MBS down only 3 ticks (.09) and 10yr up 2.7bps at 4.478
Heading out in moderately weaker territory, but in line with y'day's mid day levels. MBS down 6 ticks (.16) and 10yr up 3.3bs at 4.483
It's a holiday-shortened week with a relatively empty economic calendar, thus forcing the bond market to find its movement cues elsewhere. To some small extent, corporate bond issuance has had an impact behind the scenes. It was lower than expected yesterday, which may have helped, and is picking back up today, which may be hurting. But the bigger pain aligns fairly clearly with various newswires surrounding the budget battle. In the most basic sense, bonds are protesting a lack of fiscal restraint. Nothing has been passed yet, but the concern is that a flurry of pressure from the White House could force a few hold outs to change their vote. Bonds wouldn't like that because as it stands, the bill would likely result in higher Treasury issuance.